Week 3 of the season has closed and closed with a squeaker on Monday Nite with my pick coming through for me by a hair, giving me a total of 11 out 16 right this week. Makes me 29 out of 48 for 60%, still some climbing for me to do to reach my goal of 80/85%
Some of my analysing came very close and some were right on: 2010 NFL Season - Week 3
Others were way off, like I had thought that Detroit just by chance, because of last weeks game vs Philadelphia, was getting it together and with them going against an lackluster Favre/Minnesota team I thought they could pull out a victory, HA! same ol' Lions we all have come to love, jeez what a mess of a team...
Dallas came on in a big way this week and probably kept Jerry Jones from firing the whole team.
I knew the Atl. vs NO game was going to be tough and close, but I thought that NO would come out on top in the end, but again another lost for a another team because of un-stabled Field Goal kicking. Seeing more and more of that this year.
Looks like M.Vick has found his old style at Philly and will have to look at their future games as to how my picks go.
As for Washington, this was their first road game and if it was an indicator of rest of season instead of just a one week fluke, then it looks like Washington might not be a very good road team. Which is good tid-bit worth knowing about some teams...
And that leads me to the basic stats for advantages:
16 TEAMS TOTAL:
8 teams won at home this week
8 teams won on the road this week
8 teams won who were picked as favorites
8 underdog teams won
That will take care of this week of football and as usual somewhere, someplace, sometime you'll find me leaning against the goal post, Knobby
For up - to - date daily NFL news during the week go to Mac's Football Blog
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Friday, September 24, 2010
2010 NFL Season - Week 3
Sunday Games - Winning Picks in Red
Cleveland at Baltimore – Both teams have started season poorly. In this match–up Cleveland will end up on the short side in a low scoring battle.
Cincinnati at Carolina – This match–up sees two teams still searching in the 3rd week of season to find a pattern on both side of the ball. Sad to say Carolina has not got the same potential as in years past.
Dallas at Houston – In my book Houston lost last week, but that is neither here or there, but they are an explosive team which is going against a floppy team.
San Francisco at Kansas City – IMO Kansas City is looking like the real deal this season. I had high hopes for SF but so far they seem to be searching for meshing abilities
Detroit at Minnesota – GUT reaction at moment is Detroit is going to pull a winner out of the hat this week and I’m sticking to it
Atlanta at New Orleans – Pick polls have NO as about 87% favorites, I see a much closer, tougher game but still a Saints win
Tennessee at New York Giants – Giants return home after a resounding beat on by big brother and his crew last week, but they’re still allowing to many points and I have a feeling Tennessee will take advantage of that although it will end up close
Buffalo at New England – Bills playing at New England after Mr. Hoody lost to Jets, good luck Buffalo I will feel your pain
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay - Both teams are 2 and 0 but one team has wins against Atlanta and Tennessee while the other team has victories against Cleveland and Carolina. Which team do you think ranks better with their victories?
Philadelphia at Jacksonville - Philadelphia in their 2nd week on the road after ALMOST losing in Detroit, going to Jacksonville at home.
Washington at St Louis – We will see how Washington plays on the road this week after 2 home stands. St Louis seems like a very even team, not much scoring on offense but not allowing much scoring either, although they’ve only played Arizona and Oakland so far.
Oakland at Arizona – Two evenly matched struggling teams and in this case you have to just go with the home advantage over a uncertain team who might end up having 3 different QBs play this week…
Indianapolis at Denver – This game scares me for 2 reasons. #1 is I just don’t know if the same Colts defense from last week will show up this week on the road. #2 Denver can put up numbers at home. The only saving grace is Denver hasn’t ran the ball very well so far.
San Diego at Seattle – This is the old game of we’re here and you’re there and we’re there and you’re here. Like I said last week, Seattle has always played pretty good at home
New York Jets at Miami – Jets are getting it all together tightly while Miami looks good on paper but in reality only has victories against a poor, poor Buffalo team and a vastly confused Brett Favre team – EXTRA = Jets 28 - Dolphins 12
Monday Night Game
Green Bay at Chicago – Lots of hype about this game between 2 teams who have played either poor and/or mis-guided teams with losing records. GB has played 2 teams with a combine W/L record so far this year of 1-3. Chicago has played 2 teams with a combine W/L record so far this year of 0-4. Of the 4 opposing teams Chicago has played the tougher 2 of the 4, but only by a hair.
For up - to - date daily NFL news during the week go to Mac's Football Blog
Cleveland at Baltimore – Both teams have started season poorly. In this match–up Cleveland will end up on the short side in a low scoring battle.
Cincinnati at Carolina – This match–up sees two teams still searching in the 3rd week of season to find a pattern on both side of the ball. Sad to say Carolina has not got the same potential as in years past.
Dallas at Houston – In my book Houston lost last week, but that is neither here or there, but they are an explosive team which is going against a floppy team.
San Francisco at Kansas City – IMO Kansas City is looking like the real deal this season. I had high hopes for SF but so far they seem to be searching for meshing abilities
Detroit at Minnesota – GUT reaction at moment is Detroit is going to pull a winner out of the hat this week and I’m sticking to it
Atlanta at New Orleans – Pick polls have NO as about 87% favorites, I see a much closer, tougher game but still a Saints win
Tennessee at New York Giants – Giants return home after a resounding beat on by big brother and his crew last week, but they’re still allowing to many points and I have a feeling Tennessee will take advantage of that although it will end up close
Buffalo at New England – Bills playing at New England after Mr. Hoody lost to Jets, good luck Buffalo I will feel your pain
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay - Both teams are 2 and 0 but one team has wins against Atlanta and Tennessee while the other team has victories against Cleveland and Carolina. Which team do you think ranks better with their victories?
Philadelphia at Jacksonville - Philadelphia in their 2nd week on the road after ALMOST losing in Detroit, going to Jacksonville at home.
Washington at St Louis – We will see how Washington plays on the road this week after 2 home stands. St Louis seems like a very even team, not much scoring on offense but not allowing much scoring either, although they’ve only played Arizona and Oakland so far.
Oakland at Arizona – Two evenly matched struggling teams and in this case you have to just go with the home advantage over a uncertain team who might end up having 3 different QBs play this week…
Indianapolis at Denver – This game scares me for 2 reasons. #1 is I just don’t know if the same Colts defense from last week will show up this week on the road. #2 Denver can put up numbers at home. The only saving grace is Denver hasn’t ran the ball very well so far.
San Diego at Seattle – This is the old game of we’re here and you’re there and we’re there and you’re here. Like I said last week, Seattle has always played pretty good at home
New York Jets at Miami – Jets are getting it all together tightly while Miami looks good on paper but in reality only has victories against a poor, poor Buffalo team and a vastly confused Brett Favre team – EXTRA = Jets 28 - Dolphins 12
Monday Night Game
Green Bay at Chicago – Lots of hype about this game between 2 teams who have played either poor and/or mis-guided teams with losing records. GB has played 2 teams with a combine W/L record so far this year of 1-3. Chicago has played 2 teams with a combine W/L record so far this year of 0-4. Of the 4 opposing teams Chicago has played the tougher 2 of the 4, but only by a hair.
For up - to - date daily NFL news during the week go to Mac's Football Blog
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Leaning against the Goal Post
Week 2 of the NFL season is done, with some surprises that I'm sure you all are aware of by now. I came very close on some of the games, especially my Washington pick (ah, for a better FG kicker). Detroit is looking good and as I said in a previous post "Detroit has new talent and has to mesh yet", right now I am tossing it over about picking them come this Sunday against a very lackluster Viking team... We shall see when I post my picks Friday...
Overall so far this season I stand at: 18 out of 32 for a 56% pick average. I am trying my best to have a consistent 80 to 85 pick percentage this year...
As to the basic stats for advantages:
16 TEAMS TOTAL:
8 teams won at home this week
8 teams won on the road this week
10 teams won who were picked as favorites
6 underdog teams won
That's it for this Tuesday and if you look hard you'll find me leaning against the goal post, Knobby
For up - to - date daily NFL news during the week go to Mac's Football Blog
Overall so far this season I stand at: 18 out of 32 for a 56% pick average. I am trying my best to have a consistent 80 to 85 pick percentage this year...
As to the basic stats for advantages:
16 TEAMS TOTAL:
8 teams won at home this week
8 teams won on the road this week
10 teams won who were picked as favorites
6 underdog teams won
That's it for this Tuesday and if you look hard you'll find me leaning against the goal post, Knobby
For up - to - date daily NFL news during the week go to Mac's Football Blog
Friday, September 17, 2010
2010 NFL season – week 2
Sunday Games - Winning picks in Red
Arizona at Atlanta – Atlanta returns homes while this makes 2nd week away for Arizona. Some teams play better at home then those who are road weary.
Tampa Bay at Carolina - Carolina has better offense and they’re home.
Baltimore at Cincinnati – Cincinnati came on strong at the end last week, Baltimore to me just seems out of sorts and with this being 2nd week on road won’t help.
Kansas City at Cleveland – 2 teams that are still trying to make people believe in them, KC should after this week.
Chicago at Dallas – the 5 million offensive plays of Martz vs the old, the injured and the brave.
Philadelphia at Detroit – Detroit had their chance last week and came away the worse for the wear.
Buffalo at Green Bay – I just don’t see the buffalos stampeding on this field.
Miami at Minnesota – Favre and Vikings at home. It will be interesting to see if they have what it takes this year.
Pittsburgh at Tennessee – Pittsburgh may have won last week against Atlanta but Tenn. At home is a whole different ball of wax.
Seattle at Denver – OK, I made the mistake last week of forgetting that Seattle is very good at home and very lousy on the road.
St Louis at Oakland – For me this is a toss up, either one has potential and when in doubt always go home.
Jacksonville at San Diego – It is still early in season to see if Jacksonville has it together enough to win at home and away but SD looked very soft against KC last week.
New England at New York Jets - For last 2 years these teams have played close on Jets turf and on New England’s turf also. Jets can do it in this even year again if they stop losing the ball.
Houston at Washington – Both teams coming off of HUGE victories last week, IMO book Washington’s victory was bigger and more meaningful and that will carry on this week.
New York Giants at Indianapolis – Poor Colts, but I knew it was going to be a tough season for them. If Giants decide to rush more then pass the Colts will be hard pressed again this week. – EXTRA = COLTS 28 – NYG 24
Monday Game -
New Orleans at San Francisco – Well after last weeks lack of everything on San Francisco part this pick is easy.
For up - to - date daily NFL news during the week go to Mac's Football Blog
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Leaning against the Goal Post
So the first week of NFL football is done and over with and I ended up with a pick record of 8 & 8. Others I know did better and some others did worse, it's all in how the ball bounces.
Just a quick rundown of how the teams did compared to their arrangements on the pick polls...
16 TEAMS TOTAL:
12 WON AT HOME
4 WON AWAY
Of the teams that had the highest pick percentage - 9 WON with 7 underdog team winning
For up - to - date daily NFL news during the week go to Mac's Football Blog
I'll post week 2 picks this coming Friday and as always you'll find me leaning against the goal post, Knobby
Just a quick rundown of how the teams did compared to their arrangements on the pick polls...
16 TEAMS TOTAL:
12 WON AT HOME
4 WON AWAY
Of the teams that had the highest pick percentage - 9 WON with 7 underdog team winning
For up - to - date daily NFL news during the week go to Mac's Football Blog
I'll post week 2 picks this coming Friday and as always you'll find me leaning against the goal post, Knobby
Friday, September 10, 2010
Week 1 - 2010 Season - Sunday/Monday Games
Well The Vikings sure went FLAT in the 2nd half, hope this isn't a prelude to how my picking season will be going. LOL
I had about 60/61 percent winning avg. last season...
Lets see if I can do any better with the remaining 15 games this week: Again this is the first week of the season and no one really knows how teams will be playing...
Sunday Games - Winning picks in Red
Miami at Buffalo - Miami is improving, Bills have a good defense
Detroit at Chicago - Detroit has new talent and has to mesh yet, Chicago with changes but not drastic
Indianapolis at Houston - this will be the first test of how Colts offense/defense is and whether Houston has improved enough in order to move out of Colts shadow
Denver at Jacksonville - west coast to east coast thingy never really works especially playing against Jacksonville
Cincinnati at New England - Cincinnati has dynamo and IMO N.E. is crumbling at the edges
Carolina at the New York Giants - as long as Giants defense hold up they'll be fine
Atlanta at Pittsburgh - Atlanta new talent, Pittsburgh without Big Ben
Cleveland at Tampa Bay - Cleveland's growing while Tampa Bay has solid base
Oakland at Tennessee - Another west to east thingy and we'll see if Tenn. defense is good
Green Bay at Philadelphia - GB very good offense still - Philly has new quarterback
San Francisco at Seattle - SF is one team that should go far this season
Arizona at St Louis - Question on both side of ball so we shall see
Dallas at Washington - Washington new people again - Dallas old people already banged up EXTRA: Washington 16 - Dallas 12
Monday Games -
Baltimore at New York Jets - Jets could be trouble this year for a lot of teams
San Diego at Kansas City - Kansas improving, SD missing players
I had about 60/61 percent winning avg. last season...
Lets see if I can do any better with the remaining 15 games this week: Again this is the first week of the season and no one really knows how teams will be playing...
Sunday Games - Winning picks in Red
Miami at Buffalo - Miami is improving, Bills have a good defense
Detroit at Chicago - Detroit has new talent and has to mesh yet, Chicago with changes but not drastic
Indianapolis at Houston - this will be the first test of how Colts offense/defense is and whether Houston has improved enough in order to move out of Colts shadow
Denver at Jacksonville - west coast to east coast thingy never really works especially playing against Jacksonville
Cincinnati at New England - Cincinnati has dynamo and IMO N.E. is crumbling at the edges
Carolina at the New York Giants - as long as Giants defense hold up they'll be fine
Atlanta at Pittsburgh - Atlanta new talent, Pittsburgh without Big Ben
Cleveland at Tampa Bay - Cleveland's growing while Tampa Bay has solid base
Oakland at Tennessee - Another west to east thingy and we'll see if Tenn. defense is good
Green Bay at Philadelphia - GB very good offense still - Philly has new quarterback
San Francisco at Seattle - SF is one team that should go far this season
Arizona at St Louis - Question on both side of ball so we shall see
Dallas at Washington - Washington new people again - Dallas old people already banged up EXTRA: Washington 16 - Dallas 12
Monday Games -
Baltimore at New York Jets - Jets could be trouble this year for a lot of teams
San Diego at Kansas City - Kansas improving, SD missing players
Tuesday, September 7, 2010
Week 1 - 2010 Season
Well I hope everyone enjoy their Labor Day holiday and summer because it's time to get back to NFL football. As usual though the first few weeks will mostly be picks without much added opinions because no matter what takes place during summer and drafts, etc. the true nature of a team and its players for a new season is really not revealed until 3 or 4 games are played...
This year though should be an exciting one and lots and lots of hopeful teams out there. In fact I would say some of the old top teams, especially like New England or Colts might be in for a rough year.
My picks of teams to watch for this year are - St Louis, Tennessee, San Francisco, Jets and Detroit might have some surprising up-sets...
Let's get on with the season -
Thursday Night Game:
MINNESOTA (0-0) AT NEW ORLEANS (0-0)
Again the problem for the first few weeks of a new season is that there are no decisive
Offensive Statistics or Defensive Statistics, just well they could do this or well they should be strong here, etc.etc.etc. The one thing you can question from last season is whether some teams will continue to be good on the road and at home or will some teams just be good road teams or just good at home..
This game is a re-hash of last seasons Championship game where Favre took a pounding! and still came up smiling... although the Vikings lost...
The Vikings last year had 4 losses - all away games, The Saints had 3 losses all at the end of the season when it didn't really matter... Right at the moment Vikings are somewhere between 3.5 and 4.0 underdogs....
I think they will top the Saints in this game only for the fact that Favre needs to if nothing else...
My Pick: Vikings 26 - Saints 24
Sunday games I'll have come Friday
Be seeing you, Knobby
This year though should be an exciting one and lots and lots of hopeful teams out there. In fact I would say some of the old top teams, especially like New England or Colts might be in for a rough year.
My picks of teams to watch for this year are - St Louis, Tennessee, San Francisco, Jets and Detroit might have some surprising up-sets...
Let's get on with the season -
Thursday Night Game:
MINNESOTA (0-0) AT NEW ORLEANS (0-0)
Again the problem for the first few weeks of a new season is that there are no decisive
Offensive Statistics or Defensive Statistics, just well they could do this or well they should be strong here, etc.etc.etc. The one thing you can question from last season is whether some teams will continue to be good on the road and at home or will some teams just be good road teams or just good at home..
This game is a re-hash of last seasons Championship game where Favre took a pounding! and still came up smiling... although the Vikings lost...
The Vikings last year had 4 losses - all away games, The Saints had 3 losses all at the end of the season when it didn't really matter... Right at the moment Vikings are somewhere between 3.5 and 4.0 underdogs....
I think they will top the Saints in this game only for the fact that Favre needs to if nothing else...
My Pick: Vikings 26 - Saints 24
Sunday games I'll have come Friday
Be seeing you, Knobby
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