Week 19 - 2009 Playoffs

Welcome to week 19 of NFL 2009 season!

Some good games played last week, I ended up 2 for 2 winning my Jets & Arizona picks and losing my New Eng. & Phil. picks

First, I want to give you a couple of little playoff history tidbits here: In the last 6 playoff seasons 2003 - 2008 there has been a home team and/or a bye week team play in the Super Bowl.

2003 - New England { #1 defense AFC & over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - won SB - - Carolina { #3 defense NFC & #6 over-all } lost SB but had home field 1 time & no bye week.

2004 - New England { #2 defense AFC & over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - won SB - - Philadelphia { #1 defense NFC & #3 over-all } lost SB but had home field adv and bye week.

2005 - Seattle { #3 defense NFC & #7 over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - lost SB - - Pittsburgh { #2 defense AFC & #4 over-all } won SB, played all 3 playoff game away & no bye week.

2006 - Chicago { #1 defense NFC & #3 over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - lost SB - - Colts { #6 defense AFC & #11 over-all } won SB and had home field 2 times & no bye week.

2007 - New England { #3 defense AFC & #4 over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - lost SB - - NYG { #6 defense NFC & #12 over-all } won SB played all 3 playoff games away & no bye week.

2008 - Pittsburgh { #1 defense AFC & #1 over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - won SB - - Arizona { #6 defense NFC & #12 over-all } had home field 2 times & no bye week.

Defense can win Games! Be it strong, lucky, skilled or any and all 3, Defense can win Games.

Not a 100 % sure bet, but close. The odds of a better defense team winning and moving on during season, playoffs are in their favor more than not.


My winning picks are in the usual RED...


Saturday Games:

Arizona @ New Orleans - Arizona ranks 4th defense in NFC & 10th over-all among the playoff teams. New Orleans ranks 6th defense in NFC & 12th over-all.

New Orleans has rested they hurt while Arizona has gotten new hurts. Warner & crew played well against GB but their defense was slowly fading as it got further & further into game.

I think we will see a re-new N. O. team and they will give the home fans a little something to cheer about...

Baltimore @ Indianapolis - Baltimore ranks 2th defense in AFC & 3rd over-all among the playoff teams. Indianapolis ranks 5th defense AFC & 7th over-all.

Let me first say that I hope Colts management knows what their doing by what they have done!

Anyways, Baltimore came out fast and played hot against N..Eng. but N. Eng. seemed to be missing alot of alot like motivation, tackles, spunk, drive, etc.

Colts all season had a nick-knack paddy whack for somehow, somewhere pulling wins out of the hat. Hopefully their players are rested and not out of sinc. I stand by them again this week as usual...

Sunday Games:

Dallas @ Minnesota - Dallas ranks #1 defense NFC & #2 over-all among playoff teams. Minnesota ranks #3 defense in NFC & #8 over-all.

Well Dallas has surprise me, they've played really well, much better than I thought they would in the last several weeks. But they head to Minnesota where Mr. Favre is Mr. Perfect.

Dallas defense has gotten stronger in last weeks of play and Minnesota's has been good all along.

Only thing you have to look for is strength of opposing teams and could they be the reason for an improving defense or a seemly strong one. Looking at games for both teams Minnesota has a slight edge in playing stronger teams. I just don't think Dallas can carry it for another week.

N. Y. Jets @ San Diego - Jets rank #1 defense AFC & overall among playoff teams. S.D. ranks #6 AFC & 9th over-all.

Jets looked damn good against Cincinnati and why not they had motivation, defense, etc. and like I said last week I like the way the Jets look - good American football.

San Diego has been on a terror streak these last 11 weeks and alot of people are saying they could win SB. They haven't played the Jets yet!

For the Pro Football U-pickem gang - - Jets 22 - SD 20

See you all later, Knobby

Week 18 - 2009 Playoffs

Well now we begin the tense weeks of football where if your favorite team loses than that is it! done, gone, finished for season...

I, myself & me finished the regular season picking with 154 right out of 256 games giving me a 60% pick avg. Which means I'm average - lol, some out there picked worse and some picked a way lot better, but it's all for fun, right???????

Saturday Games:

N.Y.Jets @ Cincinnati - A re-do of what we just saw yesterday. I was impressed with the Jets yesterday, good tough playing. I like Jets Defense, in last 6 games (not including these last 2 with Colts,Cincinnati) Jets have allowed 87 pts which works out to 14.5 a game. Cincinnati in the same game span has allowed 107 pts or 17.8 a game.

Taking all into consideration - I believe the Jets will hold tight, have momentum on their side and squeak out a win, be it ever so close...

Philadelphia @ Dallas - Another re-do game of yesterday. Oh, what a mystery game Mr. Reid can play with his players. If for one moment Dallas thinks they scored something yesterday, they are in for a surprise come this game. Dallas needed that game yesterday, Phillips needed that game yesterday, Jerry Jones needed that game yesterday - Mcnabb did not, Reid did not, Eagles did not, but they need this game and will get it...

Sunday Games:

Baltimore @ New England - Check the back records of N.Eng and you will see that although Baltimore has improved and I like them as a team, they just are not going to have what it takes to take down New England on their own turf...

Green Bay @ Arizona - Another re-do game - let say this, Green Bay did not play Arizona yesterday, almost all of Arizona's first-team defense played only one possession and Kurt Warner sat after one quarter. Aaron Rodgers played three quarters, mostly against Arizona reserves.

Look at GB's losses, most of their losses have all came at the hands of high passing teams. Out of GB's 5 road wins, 4 have been against St. Louis, Detroit, Chicago and Arizona reserves, hardly record breaking teams there.

On the other hand Arizona has not played good at home and their wins at home have been over weak teams (Houston, Seattle, St. Louis) and their win over Minnesota was because Minnesota plays as bad on the road as Arizona does at home.

Still looking at a tough game but my edge is going to a full Arizona team this week...

Week 17 - Sunday Games - 2009 Season

Welcome to the last regular week of NFL football - this week will be like throwing darts at balloons with the wind blowing. Some teams are still in the hunt for playoff spots, while others are just going to try to end on a positive note or two. So picking winners this week is guessing which teams will do what with their starters, which teams are good enough to win with 3rd string players, etc, etc,.

As usual my winning picks are in that fabulous color RED!

COLTS

Jacksonville

New Orleans - I am changing this pick over to Carolina, because NO staff have decided to sit the big kids. Don't want them hurt over a silly little game, now do we???

Dallas

Detroit

Houston

Miami

Minnesota

N.Y. Jets

San Francisco

Atlanta

Arizona

Baltimore

Washington

Denver

Tennessee 24 - Seattle 17

See you next week for the playoffs!!!!! Knobby...

Week 16 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

Hope everyone is enjoying their holiday weekend - not much posting for me, Grandkids have been keeping me busy. I will say, in my picking the pros game, I did pick SD to beat Tenn on Friday. So hey, I'm one up for the week.

Oh, last week was a disaster - 5 right out 16 games - but, as Bob Dylan would sing, it's all good!

As for todays games and Monday nite game my picks to win are:

Atlanta

Cincinnati

Cleveland

Green Bay

Houston

N. Y. Giants

N. England

New Orleans

Baltimore

Arizona

Detroit

COLTS

Philadelphia

Sunday Nite Game: Dallas 24 - Washington 16

Monday Nite Game: Minnesota

Enjoy the rest of the weekend and go out and do something with family and friends.

Be seeing you, Knobby

Week 15 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

WoW! NO lost last nite! I bet they're ALOT of angry betters out there this morning - LOL Good job Dallas for stepping up and proving critics wrong...

On to todays games and MNF game.

My picks to win are in Red:

Arizona at Detroit - Poor Poor Detroit, someday though, right?? Their house will land on the wicked witch of the west and they will live happilly ever after in OZ. Just not this week though...

Atlanta at New York Jets - Good game here and Jets should sneak a win out

New England at Buffalo - Buffalo plays NEng tough, came within a hair of beating them first game of season. NEng seems to be messed up this season. I'm going out on a limb and well you know it's just me, it's all for fun anyways, right?

Chicago at Baltimore - I think Chicago finally made it, jeez talk about bad scheduling of travel plans...

Cleveland at Kansas City - I don't think the Brown players like their coach and will make sure he doesn't come back next year...

Houston at St Louis - I think half of St Louis has the flu, hard to play when your throwing up

Miami at Tennessee - Yes, Young is suppose to return and play, but IMO Miami will handle the situation

San Francisco at Philadelphia - Ok, I going to crawl out on another limb here and only because I like Mike Singletary. I think the 49'ers will be a force to reckon with in 1 to 2 more years...

Cincinnati at San Diego - All reports that I'm seeing is that Cincinnati players are all with-drawn over Chris Henrys death and probably visiting SD won't help matters

Oakland at Denver - Nope, Denver is mile high...

Green Bay at Pittsburgh - Now here is an interesting game, what the heck has happened to Steelers?????? Can they come back this week? I know one thing and that is their secondary has been beaten by lesser offensive teams then GB.

Tampa Bay at Seattle - Come on Seattle, put a win together for the old gipper before he leaves town!

Minnesota at Carolina - Now that NO has shown weakness, I hope Mr Favre has a run at the big one.. for you pick & Play ppl -> Minnesota 28/Carolina 19

New York Giants at Washington - My 2nd big upset of week, Giants will fold again for some unknown reason..

You all have a good one!

Peace & Love, Knobby

Week 15 - 2009 Season - Saturday Night Game

Way to go Colts! good game all around... Now on to tonites game:

Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints - I just don't see Cowboys doing it tonite - I have looked for any angle that might lead me to believe they can win tonite and I can't come up with one. Trust me, being the risk taker in picks that I am I would pick them if there was anything other then just luck. The only thing I can come up with is I read where NO defense has played very tired in last 2 games, so maybe that might play to Cowboys advantage but, other then that all I got is they win by a fluke or something happens to Brees, etc

Take care, Knobby