Hope all of you had a fine Thanksgiving Day? With my picks going 3 for 3 mine was great... lol
This Sunday and Monday games we're seeing some tough match-ups, which means some games might have up-sets of the unexpected kind.
My picks to win are in RED -
Tampa Bay at Atlanta - a match-up of 2 teams who I presume had high hopes for the year and have failed miserably. TB is bad on both sides of the ball, while Atl. at moments can muster a good run or two offensively.
Miami at Buffalo - Buffalo in earlier games looked like they were going to bust out and make a season, but last 3 games due to high injuries, changed of QB, new mid-season coach -they have sunk into a pit. Even with Miami losing some players, they have shown depth. Look for Ricky Williams to star again this week.
Carolina at New York Jets - Jets started out a power house in first 3 games of season and then went South winning only at Oakland in the last 7 games. Panthers - started poorly and then have gone up, down, almost, etc. Even though most odds are favoring Jets to win - I see it differently... Look for close game though.
Cleveland at Cincinnati - This is game where one team should really just have to stand on the field and win - but we know from last week that is not the case in all games. Just know also that even though these two should be different as day and night, this is going to be a close game.
Indianapolis at Houston - Could happen you know, Houston winning this one, but for some reason the COLTS have found a way to win each game this year, even by the tiniest of margins.
Washington at Philadelphia - Not going to be the same type game we saw last week against Dallas
Seattle at St Louis - St Louis can't buy a win, although Detroit did help them one week to look good. They can play tough at home. Seattle can't play on the road - they are a terrible road team... They have played well against poor teams. Look for change in St. Louis QB not helping, they will be losing what little consistency they were building.
Jacksonville at San Francisco - tough and close game with many peak moments but, look for Gore to hold it together for SF.
Kansas City at San Diego - Please don't look for KC to do this week what they did last week. Although this game will be closer than the score was the first time these two met...
Arizona at Tennessee - I have look and look and look at stats for these teams, trying to figure out where the key point is for this game. I found it - Arizona has lost one game this year and it was because the opposite team had a running game and ran circles around Arizonas defense. Look for Tenn. to do the same with Young being a added element of surprise.
Chicago at Minnesota - Favre and crew at home against a team that continues to let their QB get hit, hit and hit...
Sunday Night Game - Baltimore at Pittsburgh - Poor Pittsburgh just doesn't seem to be their year, which is fine their still a great football team and as always even great teams have down years... Baltimore 22 - Pittsburgh 18
Monday Night Game - New England at New Orleans - Hype game of the week - New England defense is good but if on the field to much they weaken terribly and NE has lost 3 out 4 road games - NO offense is high-flying and can put together extended drives as well as short quick ones. New England through the year has played the tougher teams. Look for turn overs to be big part of game. This game will come down to who has the ball last...
Friday, November 27, 2009
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
Week 12 - 2009 Season - Thanksgiving Day Games
Hello to all! Hope you all will be enjoying your time with family and friends this week and hopefully not eat to much turkey and stuffing...
I went 11 for 16 last week which gives me 96 out of 160 for the season - not bad considering I am more of a rebel when picking teams. Always out to look for that extra win by the underdog team, which there was last week. 4 upsets including 2 big ones that very few including myself saw coming... KC over Pittsburgh and Oakland over Cincinnati... Which makes this season weekly upset avg. 4.72 upset games each week.
As for this weeks 3 Thursday games: As usual my picks to win are in RED
Green Bay @ Detroit - although fine gutsy playing by Stafford and Lions vs Cleveland last week I'm afraid it not going to carry over against GB. Even more so with Stafford having a injured arm/shoulder. I will give him this, if he can avoid becoming a injury prone QB he might be what the Lions have been looking for. But remember 1 winning game does not make a whole season nor does it make a winning team out of a poor team, it's just a step towards that goal.
Oakland @ Dallas - Don't let Oakland upset last week over Cinn. fool you they still have a long way to go. Dallas on the other hand better come awake or their going to find themselves out completely. To, To close against Washington last week for a supposedly number 1 team...
N Y Giants @ Denver - This match-up is a hard one for me this week. Both teams have fallen down and seem like they don't know how to get back up. Denver was blowin out by SD last week and NYG tried their best to give their game away with Atl. Both teams badly need a win and to toughen up their defenses. All the stats you could possibly go through lean towards NYG winning but, as we all know 'ANY GIVEN SUNDAY' or Thursday
I went 11 for 16 last week which gives me 96 out of 160 for the season - not bad considering I am more of a rebel when picking teams. Always out to look for that extra win by the underdog team, which there was last week. 4 upsets including 2 big ones that very few including myself saw coming... KC over Pittsburgh and Oakland over Cincinnati... Which makes this season weekly upset avg. 4.72 upset games each week.
As for this weeks 3 Thursday games: As usual my picks to win are in RED
Green Bay @ Detroit - although fine gutsy playing by Stafford and Lions vs Cleveland last week I'm afraid it not going to carry over against GB. Even more so with Stafford having a injured arm/shoulder. I will give him this, if he can avoid becoming a injury prone QB he might be what the Lions have been looking for. But remember 1 winning game does not make a whole season nor does it make a winning team out of a poor team, it's just a step towards that goal.
Oakland @ Dallas - Don't let Oakland upset last week over Cinn. fool you they still have a long way to go. Dallas on the other hand better come awake or their going to find themselves out completely. To, To close against Washington last week for a supposedly number 1 team...
N Y Giants @ Denver - This match-up is a hard one for me this week. Both teams have fallen down and seem like they don't know how to get back up. Denver was blowin out by SD last week and NYG tried their best to give their game away with Atl. Both teams badly need a win and to toughen up their defenses. All the stats you could possibly go through lean towards NYG winning but, as we all know 'ANY GIVEN SUNDAY' or Thursday
Friday, November 20, 2009
Week 11 - 2009 Season
Ok, I'm off to another rousing start this week - lost that pick last night. Strange year so far - Teams that should BLOW others teams out of the water, LOSE. Teams that lose all their players WIN because of ref calls. If I didn't know better I would say the NFL was turning into the WWE - with pre-scripted endings no matter how real the playing on the field looks.
And coaching! Games are being lost because coaches that don't know how to coach or they can't coach properly because of all the snotty nose players now a days... We're not in Kansas any more Toto... maybe Rush is right... Oh well...
6 upsets in week 10 which brings that stat up to 48 upset games for the season which averages out to 4.8 up set games per week.
As usual my picks to win are in RED -
Atlanta at New York Giants - Giants have rested for a week now and hopefully they have gotten themselves together again and Eli ankle is better. Atlanta is not a good road team this year. Giants should sneak one in this week.
Indianapolis at Baltimore - Will the Colts be complacent this week after their huge come-back win last week? Baltimore can be tough but if Colts want to show they are Super-Bowl material they need to win this game. Colts win but probably by not more than 6pts.
Buffalo at Jacksonville - Buffalo is a mess, totally and now their on the road...
Cleveland at Detroit - How do you pick a winner from 2 losers? I can tell you that this game is going to be LOWWWWWW scoring and hopefully the Lions can get that extra FG to win this game.
Washington at Dallas - Contrary to rumors running about, Dallas is not going to blow Washington away, this is going to be a defensive game with scoring in upper teens. Dallas should come out on top
San Francisco at Green Bay - After that Tampa Bay game, GBs defense got a good chewing out and came on like stormtroopers against Dallas. With them still being at home this week they should play well again... GB also needs to win in order to keep their wild-card playofff chances alive.
Pittsburgh at Kansas City - Pittsburgh shouldn't have too much trouble with KC this week as long as they focus on the game and not take it to lightly - than they could find themselves in trouble.
Seattle at Minnesota - I'm still wondering why Seattle is only being given a 1% chance of winning this game. Anyways, this is the 2nd road game on a 3 road game trip for Seattle, which is not good, plus they can allow alot of pts. Mr. Favre and crew should come out on top by 10 or more pts.
New Orleans at Tampa Bay - N.O. just escaped last week with a win over St. Louis and now this is their 2nd road game in so many weeks. Tampa with Freeman at quarterback is a totally different team then weeks ago. I am going out on a limb here and I think Tampa Bay will pull off a win this week.
Arizona at St Louis - Arizona has to focus on this game to win but don't be surprised if St. Louis wins either.
Cincinnati at Oakland - Same thing for this game, these high powered teams have to focus and play hard against these lesser teams or else.
New York Jets at New England Patriots - Poor, Poor, Poor Jets - The Patriots revenge on them after last weeks mistakes vs Colts will be brutal...
San Diego at Denver - Denver certainly has fallen in the last 3 weeks, while SD has risen top side. Will home base help Denver? without Orton don't look for it this week...
Philadelphia at Chicago - I'll be honest here, I don't like McNabb, don't know why, never met him, never talked to him, never tweeted with him but for some odd reason the man just comes across to me as a ass! So that said, I'm picking for Chicago to win and if they again can focus, focus and offense can pick it up some what they should be able to do it... Chicago 21 - Philadelphia 17
Tennessee at Houston - Houston won the match-up earlier this season between them but only by 3pts & Tenn. was not playing Young. I truly believe things will be different this time around.
And coaching! Games are being lost because coaches that don't know how to coach or they can't coach properly because of all the snotty nose players now a days... We're not in Kansas any more Toto... maybe Rush is right... Oh well...
6 upsets in week 10 which brings that stat up to 48 upset games for the season which averages out to 4.8 up set games per week.
As usual my picks to win are in RED -
Atlanta at New York Giants - Giants have rested for a week now and hopefully they have gotten themselves together again and Eli ankle is better. Atlanta is not a good road team this year. Giants should sneak one in this week.
Indianapolis at Baltimore - Will the Colts be complacent this week after their huge come-back win last week? Baltimore can be tough but if Colts want to show they are Super-Bowl material they need to win this game. Colts win but probably by not more than 6pts.
Buffalo at Jacksonville - Buffalo is a mess, totally and now their on the road...
Cleveland at Detroit - How do you pick a winner from 2 losers? I can tell you that this game is going to be LOWWWWWW scoring and hopefully the Lions can get that extra FG to win this game.
Washington at Dallas - Contrary to rumors running about, Dallas is not going to blow Washington away, this is going to be a defensive game with scoring in upper teens. Dallas should come out on top
San Francisco at Green Bay - After that Tampa Bay game, GBs defense got a good chewing out and came on like stormtroopers against Dallas. With them still being at home this week they should play well again... GB also needs to win in order to keep their wild-card playofff chances alive.
Pittsburgh at Kansas City - Pittsburgh shouldn't have too much trouble with KC this week as long as they focus on the game and not take it to lightly - than they could find themselves in trouble.
Seattle at Minnesota - I'm still wondering why Seattle is only being given a 1% chance of winning this game. Anyways, this is the 2nd road game on a 3 road game trip for Seattle, which is not good, plus they can allow alot of pts. Mr. Favre and crew should come out on top by 10 or more pts.
New Orleans at Tampa Bay - N.O. just escaped last week with a win over St. Louis and now this is their 2nd road game in so many weeks. Tampa with Freeman at quarterback is a totally different team then weeks ago. I am going out on a limb here and I think Tampa Bay will pull off a win this week.
Arizona at St Louis - Arizona has to focus on this game to win but don't be surprised if St. Louis wins either.
Cincinnati at Oakland - Same thing for this game, these high powered teams have to focus and play hard against these lesser teams or else.
New York Jets at New England Patriots - Poor, Poor, Poor Jets - The Patriots revenge on them after last weeks mistakes vs Colts will be brutal...
San Diego at Denver - Denver certainly has fallen in the last 3 weeks, while SD has risen top side. Will home base help Denver? without Orton don't look for it this week...
Philadelphia at Chicago - I'll be honest here, I don't like McNabb, don't know why, never met him, never talked to him, never tweeted with him but for some odd reason the man just comes across to me as a ass! So that said, I'm picking for Chicago to win and if they again can focus, focus and offense can pick it up some what they should be able to do it... Chicago 21 - Philadelphia 17
Tennessee at Houston - Houston won the match-up earlier this season between them but only by 3pts & Tenn. was not playing Young. I truly believe things will be different this time around.
Thursday, November 19, 2009
Week 11 - 2009 Season - Thursday Night Game
Just a quick post for tonight's game between Miami and Carolina - Miami has lost a key player Ronnie Brown as has Carolina with Jordan Gross. Brown has meant more to Miami playing than Gross has to Carolina. Muhammad's return to Carolina has helped along with Steve Smiths picking thing up a tad and together in the last 3 weeks Jake Delhomme has had 3 TDs and 0 interceptions...
Look for a tough game but Carolina should win tonight
Rest of week picks will be posted Friday Afternoon - have a good one..
Look for a tough game but Carolina should win tonight
Rest of week picks will be posted Friday Afternoon - have a good one..
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Week 10 - 2009 NFL Season
FRIDAY 11/13/2009 RE-DO OF THIS WEEKS POSTING...
This week we start with the NFL channel broadcasting Thursday night games, so picks and fantasy teams have to be in earlier now. Also starting this week I will go into more depth analysis with each match-up...
Last week I went 9 for 13 (some what of a respectful showing) - making me 77 out of 128 games (60%). There were 6 upsets last week - which raises the weekly upset avg. from last weeks 4.50 to 4.66 upset games a week so far. 4 of the 6 teams with week 8 byes won in week 9 which brings that total to: 14 out 24 teams have won following a bye week.
TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:
Thursday Night Game:
Chicago @ San Francisco - Bears playing in away games have a poor offense & defense, as seen by their away record: 4 away games with total of 64 pts for vs 106 against. 49ers at home play on a much more even keel: 4 homes games with total of 95 PF vs 89 PA. In this match-up 49ers should come up with somewhere between 24 - 26 pts while Bears will probably only muster about 19 to 23 pts.
11/13/09 - San Francisco won last night 10 - 6 over Bears in a really un-bearable game to watch, but even though the pts. were off from what I said they would be the winning range was correct. Overall I had 49ers winning by 3 to 5 pts.
Sunday Early Games:
Atlanta @ Carolina - This match-up could be a toss up this week. Atl in travel games play pretty evenly offensively & defensively: 4 away games with total 103 PF vs 108 PA. Panthers struggle at home in 3 home games so far they have 39 PF vs 75 PA. Look for Atl to get about 25 - 26 pts while Panthers should come up with about 20 - 22, although they could because of Atls loose defense get upwards of 27 - 28 pts and pull off a win. Overall looking at Atlanta winning by 4-5 pts.
Tampa Bay @ Miami - TB pulled a big upset last week at home against GB but, that game withstanding TB still allows too many pts on the road and hasn't been able so far to match it with what they put up: In a total of 3 away games they have 47 PF vs 82 PA. Miamis defense is about the same as TBs only difference is their offense can out score what their defense allows: In 4 home games they have 126 PF vs 110 PA. This game Miami should score somewhere in the range of 28 - 30 pts vs TB which will probably only get 21 to 25 pts. Overall looking at Miami winning by 5 - 7 pts.
Detroit @ Minnesota - With me living in Michigan and although I am 100% COLTS fan, I always have a soft spot in me for the Lions. I always wish them the best and root for them (whenever their not playing the COLTS) but it's a hard team to root for week in and week out. This week is no different - I wish and hope they win but it's just not in the cards again. On the road the Lions defense lets teams score double what their offense puts up: 4 away games and they have 71 PF vs 153 PA. Minnesota at home with Favre now playing for them score pts: 3 home games so far this year with 90 PF vs 78 PA. Based on my math figuring we should see Minn. get 34 - 38 pts this game vs Detroits 21 to 26 pts. Overall looking at Minnesota winning by 12 - 13 pts.
Jacksonville @ N.Y.Jets - Jacksonville is spotty at best in away games, they can score 30 pts or they can score 0 pts. Don't me why or even how they can play like this but they do: 4 road games they have 56 PF vs 109 PA. Jets can be tough at home if their on their game: In 4 home games 78 PF vs 72 PA. Jacksonville should play tough but Jets defense will subdue them, Jacksonville about 16 - 18 pts, Jets getting 23-27 pts. Overall looking at Jets winning by 7 - 9 pts.
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh - Here's another game where either team could win this week. Cincinnati can play on the road and they usually find a way to win: 3 road games this year they stand with 71 PF vs 58 PA. Pittsburgh is tough, no question about it but, they could let down this week after last weeks Denver game and Cincinnati has beat them once this year. Pittsburgh in 4 home games has: 105 PF vs 69 PA. Average math calculations looks for Cincinnati to get 20 - 23 pts and Pittsburgh getting 22 - 26 pts. Overall looking at Pittsburgh winning by 2 - 3 pts.
New Orleans @ St. Louis - OK, lets move on to the next game....But, if by chance St. Louis does win, it would have to go down as major up-set game of the century...
Buffalo @ Tennessee - This is match-up #3 this week that I am seeing as either team winning. Both Buffalo and Tennessee are evenly matched, with the slight edge going to Buffalos defense. The odd man in the whole equation is Vince Young, so far in his two games played since being put in he has played great. Buffalo in 4 road games: 70 PF vs 85 PA - Tennessee in 3 home games has 70 PF vs 78 PA. I'm seeing Buffalo scoring 23-26 pts and Tenn. right around 22-23 pts. Overall looking at Buffalo winning by 1 - 3 pts.
Denver @ Washington - Denver after winning their first 6 games has lost 2 in a row now, so they need this game to straighten the ship. Washingtons offense is pitiful this year, no matter where they play. Denver on the road in 4 away games: 76 PF vs 63 PA. Washington in 4 home games: 48 PF vs 61 PA. Look for Denver to get between 15 to 18 pts this game while Washington ends up with 12 to 14 pts. Overall looking at Denver winning by 3 - 4 pts.
Sunday Late Games:
Kansas City @ Oakland - 2 teams that have not done what they were expecting themselves to do this year. Match-up #4 this week for me as either team having a chance to win. KC in 4 away games have: 73 PF vs 92 PA. Oakland in 4 home games has 36 PF vs 94 PA. Loosely figuring things up in my brain I see KC scoring between 20-23 pts while Oakland could possibly get anywhere from 16 to 23 pts.
Overall looking at Kansas City winning by 3 - 4 pts.
Seattle @ Arizona - 2 teams with loose defenses and Seattle playing poorly on road while Arizona this year has played poorly at home. In 3 road games Seattle has 44 PF vs 95 PA. Arizona fairs a little better in 4 home games with 75 total PF vs 106 total PA. All though this game COULD go either way, Arizona should hold on to win by getting between 24 - 31 pts and holding Seattle to 20 - 25 pts. Overall looking at Arizona winning by 4 - 6 pts.
Dallas @ Green Bay - Where the heck was Green Bay last week in Tampa Bay? Dallas started this year very shaky but since the KC game on 10/11/09 they have played solid. Green Bay seems to have lost track this year, although their record shows 4 victories, they have been against poor teams (Chicago, St.Louis, Detroit, Cleveland). Still this game is not a shoo-in for Dallas: In 4 road games Dallas has 90 total PF vs 74 PA. In 4 home games Green Bay has 97 total PF vs 84 PA. Look for Dallas getting 20-25 pts while GB rounds up about 18-22 pts. Overall looking at Dallas winning by 2 - 3 pts.
Philadelphia @ San Diego - I have said it before and I will say it again - Philadelphia plays whatever way McNabbs feels about the opposing team or QB. Only problem is you don't know how McNabb feels about a game or opposing QB until game time, so it makes it hard to pick whether they will win or not. Phil. in 3 road games has 74 PF vs 40 PA. San Diego in 4 home games has 96 PF vs 94 PA. IMO McNabb will try to show Rivers up this week so look for Phil. to score between 23 - 28 pts with Phil. defense holding SD to 13 - 18 pts. Overall looking at Philadelphia winning by 5 - 10 pts.
Sunday Night Game:
New England @ Indianapolis - OMG! but will this game hold up to all the hype for it? Although alot of media hype this week about this match-up, it really only centers around P. Manning vs T. Brady. In reality if you look, neither team has really played tough opposing teams. Colts have played very well on the road while lacking at home but still winning. New England has played a little tougher teams than Colts have but still no over-whelming ones and have lost some that they probably should have won. In 4 home games the Colts have 86 PF vs 60 PA. New Eng. in 3 road games has 61 PF vs 43 PA. All in all two evenly match teams, look for New Eng. to get 17 to 20 pts. while Peyton and crew should pull out about 18 to 23 pts. Very close game and ranks as match-up #5 as a victory could happen for either team. Overall looking at COLTS winning by 1 - 3 pts.
Monday Night Game:
Baltimore @ Cleveland - Word is out that Quinn will be starting QB for Browns but, that will only gain Cleveland some extra points not a win. Baltimore has been up and down all year but not that down that they allow Quinn to beat them. In 4 away games Baltimore has 90 PF vs 103 PA. Cleveland has totals of 43 PF vs 88 PA in 3 home games. Baltimore should put up between 23 - 29 pts with Browns showing about 14 - 20 pts. Overall looking at Baltimore winning by 3 - 9 pts.
I'm looking at just 3 up-sets this week (Buffalo, K.C., Phil.)
Have a great week!
For Randy Inman predictions go here: Week 10
Be seeing you, Knobby...
This week we start with the NFL channel broadcasting Thursday night games, so picks and fantasy teams have to be in earlier now. Also starting this week I will go into more depth analysis with each match-up...
Last week I went 9 for 13 (some what of a respectful showing) - making me 77 out of 128 games (60%). There were 6 upsets last week - which raises the weekly upset avg. from last weeks 4.50 to 4.66 upset games a week so far. 4 of the 6 teams with week 8 byes won in week 9 which brings that total to: 14 out 24 teams have won following a bye week.
TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:
Thursday Night Game:
Chicago @ San Francisco - Bears playing in away games have a poor offense & defense, as seen by their away record: 4 away games with total of 64 pts for vs 106 against. 49ers at home play on a much more even keel: 4 homes games with total of 95 PF vs 89 PA. In this match-up 49ers should come up with somewhere between 24 - 26 pts while Bears will probably only muster about 19 to 23 pts.
11/13/09 - San Francisco won last night 10 - 6 over Bears in a really un-bearable game to watch, but even though the pts. were off from what I said they would be the winning range was correct. Overall I had 49ers winning by 3 to 5 pts.
Sunday Early Games:
Atlanta @ Carolina - This match-up could be a toss up this week. Atl in travel games play pretty evenly offensively & defensively: 4 away games with total 103 PF vs 108 PA. Panthers struggle at home in 3 home games so far they have 39 PF vs 75 PA. Look for Atl to get about 25 - 26 pts while Panthers should come up with about 20 - 22, although they could because of Atls loose defense get upwards of 27 - 28 pts and pull off a win. Overall looking at Atlanta winning by 4-5 pts.
Tampa Bay @ Miami - TB pulled a big upset last week at home against GB but, that game withstanding TB still allows too many pts on the road and hasn't been able so far to match it with what they put up: In a total of 3 away games they have 47 PF vs 82 PA. Miamis defense is about the same as TBs only difference is their offense can out score what their defense allows: In 4 home games they have 126 PF vs 110 PA. This game Miami should score somewhere in the range of 28 - 30 pts vs TB which will probably only get 21 to 25 pts. Overall looking at Miami winning by 5 - 7 pts.
Detroit @ Minnesota - With me living in Michigan and although I am 100% COLTS fan, I always have a soft spot in me for the Lions. I always wish them the best and root for them (whenever their not playing the COLTS) but it's a hard team to root for week in and week out. This week is no different - I wish and hope they win but it's just not in the cards again. On the road the Lions defense lets teams score double what their offense puts up: 4 away games and they have 71 PF vs 153 PA. Minnesota at home with Favre now playing for them score pts: 3 home games so far this year with 90 PF vs 78 PA. Based on my math figuring we should see Minn. get 34 - 38 pts this game vs Detroits 21 to 26 pts. Overall looking at Minnesota winning by 12 - 13 pts.
Jacksonville @ N.Y.Jets - Jacksonville is spotty at best in away games, they can score 30 pts or they can score 0 pts. Don't me why or even how they can play like this but they do: 4 road games they have 56 PF vs 109 PA. Jets can be tough at home if their on their game: In 4 home games 78 PF vs 72 PA. Jacksonville should play tough but Jets defense will subdue them, Jacksonville about 16 - 18 pts, Jets getting 23-27 pts. Overall looking at Jets winning by 7 - 9 pts.
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh - Here's another game where either team could win this week. Cincinnati can play on the road and they usually find a way to win: 3 road games this year they stand with 71 PF vs 58 PA. Pittsburgh is tough, no question about it but, they could let down this week after last weeks Denver game and Cincinnati has beat them once this year. Pittsburgh in 4 home games has: 105 PF vs 69 PA. Average math calculations looks for Cincinnati to get 20 - 23 pts and Pittsburgh getting 22 - 26 pts. Overall looking at Pittsburgh winning by 2 - 3 pts.
New Orleans @ St. Louis - OK, lets move on to the next game....But, if by chance St. Louis does win, it would have to go down as major up-set game of the century...
Buffalo @ Tennessee - This is match-up #3 this week that I am seeing as either team winning. Both Buffalo and Tennessee are evenly matched, with the slight edge going to Buffalos defense. The odd man in the whole equation is Vince Young, so far in his two games played since being put in he has played great. Buffalo in 4 road games: 70 PF vs 85 PA - Tennessee in 3 home games has 70 PF vs 78 PA. I'm seeing Buffalo scoring 23-26 pts and Tenn. right around 22-23 pts. Overall looking at Buffalo winning by 1 - 3 pts.
Denver @ Washington - Denver after winning their first 6 games has lost 2 in a row now, so they need this game to straighten the ship. Washingtons offense is pitiful this year, no matter where they play. Denver on the road in 4 away games: 76 PF vs 63 PA. Washington in 4 home games: 48 PF vs 61 PA. Look for Denver to get between 15 to 18 pts this game while Washington ends up with 12 to 14 pts. Overall looking at Denver winning by 3 - 4 pts.
Sunday Late Games:
Kansas City @ Oakland - 2 teams that have not done what they were expecting themselves to do this year. Match-up #4 this week for me as either team having a chance to win. KC in 4 away games have: 73 PF vs 92 PA. Oakland in 4 home games has 36 PF vs 94 PA. Loosely figuring things up in my brain I see KC scoring between 20-23 pts while Oakland could possibly get anywhere from 16 to 23 pts.
Overall looking at Kansas City winning by 3 - 4 pts.
Seattle @ Arizona - 2 teams with loose defenses and Seattle playing poorly on road while Arizona this year has played poorly at home. In 3 road games Seattle has 44 PF vs 95 PA. Arizona fairs a little better in 4 home games with 75 total PF vs 106 total PA. All though this game COULD go either way, Arizona should hold on to win by getting between 24 - 31 pts and holding Seattle to 20 - 25 pts. Overall looking at Arizona winning by 4 - 6 pts.
Dallas @ Green Bay - Where the heck was Green Bay last week in Tampa Bay? Dallas started this year very shaky but since the KC game on 10/11/09 they have played solid. Green Bay seems to have lost track this year, although their record shows 4 victories, they have been against poor teams (Chicago, St.Louis, Detroit, Cleveland). Still this game is not a shoo-in for Dallas: In 4 road games Dallas has 90 total PF vs 74 PA. In 4 home games Green Bay has 97 total PF vs 84 PA. Look for Dallas getting 20-25 pts while GB rounds up about 18-22 pts. Overall looking at Dallas winning by 2 - 3 pts.
Philadelphia @ San Diego - I have said it before and I will say it again - Philadelphia plays whatever way McNabbs feels about the opposing team or QB. Only problem is you don't know how McNabb feels about a game or opposing QB until game time, so it makes it hard to pick whether they will win or not. Phil. in 3 road games has 74 PF vs 40 PA. San Diego in 4 home games has 96 PF vs 94 PA. IMO McNabb will try to show Rivers up this week so look for Phil. to score between 23 - 28 pts with Phil. defense holding SD to 13 - 18 pts. Overall looking at Philadelphia winning by 5 - 10 pts.
Sunday Night Game:
New England @ Indianapolis - OMG! but will this game hold up to all the hype for it? Although alot of media hype this week about this match-up, it really only centers around P. Manning vs T. Brady. In reality if you look, neither team has really played tough opposing teams. Colts have played very well on the road while lacking at home but still winning. New England has played a little tougher teams than Colts have but still no over-whelming ones and have lost some that they probably should have won. In 4 home games the Colts have 86 PF vs 60 PA. New Eng. in 3 road games has 61 PF vs 43 PA. All in all two evenly match teams, look for New Eng. to get 17 to 20 pts. while Peyton and crew should pull out about 18 to 23 pts. Very close game and ranks as match-up #5 as a victory could happen for either team. Overall looking at COLTS winning by 1 - 3 pts.
Monday Night Game:
Baltimore @ Cleveland - Word is out that Quinn will be starting QB for Browns but, that will only gain Cleveland some extra points not a win. Baltimore has been up and down all year but not that down that they allow Quinn to beat them. In 4 away games Baltimore has 90 PF vs 103 PA. Cleveland has totals of 43 PF vs 88 PA in 3 home games. Baltimore should put up between 23 - 29 pts with Browns showing about 14 - 20 pts. Overall looking at Baltimore winning by 3 - 9 pts.
I'm looking at just 3 up-sets this week (Buffalo, K.C., Phil.)
Have a great week!
For Randy Inman predictions go here: Week 10
Be seeing you, Knobby...
Saturday, November 7, 2009
Week 9 - 2009 Season
Getting later and later with posting my predictions here lately, sorry about that.
Lets get started first with where we stand in some of the stats:
Last week I went 7 for 13 - making me 68 out of 115 games. There were 5 upsets last week - which raises the weekly upset avg. from last weeks 4.42 to 4.5 upset games a week so far. Last week 2 of the 6 teams with week 7 byes won which brings that total to: 10 out 18 teams with previous byes win the following week...
TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:
Sunday Early Games:
Baltimore Ravens (4-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals* (5-2)
Houston Texans (5-3) @ Indianapolis Colts (7-0)
Green Bay Packers (4-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7)
Arizona Cardinals* (4-3) @ Chicago Bears (4-3)
Kansas City Chiefs (1-6) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4)
Miami Dolphins (3-4) @ New England Patriots (5-2)
Washington Redskins (2-5) @ Atlanta Falcons (4-3)
Sunday Afternoon Games:
Carolina Panthers (3-4) @ New Orleans (7-0)
Detroit Lions (1-6) @ Seattle Seahawks (2-5)
Tennessee Titans* (1-6) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-4)
San Diego Chargers (4-3) @ New York Giants (5-3)
Sunday Night Football Game:
Dallas Cowboys (5-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-2) And for my weekly Pick-the-Pros pickers - Philadelphia 27 - Dallas 19
Monday Night Football Game:
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) @ Denver Broncos* (6-1)
I'm predicting 4 upsets this week - indicted by *
Hope you have a nice weekend & I'll be seeing you.
Knobby
Lets get started first with where we stand in some of the stats:
Last week I went 7 for 13 - making me 68 out of 115 games. There were 5 upsets last week - which raises the weekly upset avg. from last weeks 4.42 to 4.5 upset games a week so far. Last week 2 of the 6 teams with week 7 byes won which brings that total to: 10 out 18 teams with previous byes win the following week...
TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:
Sunday Early Games:
Baltimore Ravens (4-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals* (5-2)
Houston Texans (5-3) @ Indianapolis Colts (7-0)
Green Bay Packers (4-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7)
Arizona Cardinals* (4-3) @ Chicago Bears (4-3)
Kansas City Chiefs (1-6) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4)
Miami Dolphins (3-4) @ New England Patriots (5-2)
Washington Redskins (2-5) @ Atlanta Falcons (4-3)
Sunday Afternoon Games:
Carolina Panthers (3-4) @ New Orleans (7-0)
Detroit Lions (1-6) @ Seattle Seahawks (2-5)
Tennessee Titans* (1-6) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-4)
San Diego Chargers (4-3) @ New York Giants (5-3)
Sunday Night Football Game:
Dallas Cowboys (5-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-2) And for my weekly Pick-the-Pros pickers - Philadelphia 27 - Dallas 19
Monday Night Football Game:
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) @ Denver Broncos* (6-1)
I'm predicting 4 upsets this week - indicted by *
Hope you have a nice weekend & I'll be seeing you.
Knobby
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