SUPER BOWL 2009 NFL SEASON

So here we are, at the Super Bowl and according to past games & stats will be played by 2 of the last remaining teams still standing - New Orleans Saints & Indianapolis Colts.

I have hear wild predictions so far as to scores being 45 to 24, 42 to 28, 52 to 45 and then there some more reasonable predictions 31 to 28, 31 to 27, 38 to 31 etc...

As I have noticed through this season for the most part whenever you had 2 high -offense teams meet, it always seemed like you ended with a low scoring game - reason? defense!

So lets start this puppy...






New Orleans Saints vs Indianapolis Colts




First off, it doesn't matter which team has been chosen to be home team. In my book this is away game for both teams.

Colts - looking at their away game stats minus the last Buffalo game (which they were not trying to win very hard) they come in at 218 PF & 121 PA in 7 games. That averages out to 31.1PF & 17.3 PA per game.

Saints - their away game stats are 246PF & 146PA in 7 games. That averages out to 35.1PF & 20.9PA per game. NOW, if you add in the last away game at Carolina they had (which some people say they were trying to win, others say different) then you have 256PF & 169PA in 8 games. That averages out to 32PF & 21.1PA per game.

There is where the difference is folks - in my books this is going to be a brutally close game. The only way I see this as not being close is if one team or both teams come in playing like 1st time High School football kids. The other outside reason would be bad official calling like they had during the Saints/Viking game. ( calling a TD when the guy is down 3 ft from the goal line????)

That's it! you can ponder this, you can ponder that, you can figure till you're blue in the face or read every possible stat there is, but the bottom line will be - how will the teams show up to play after 2 weeks off?


I'm betting on a close game, with COLTS winning 26 to 24...


Be seeing you, Knobby

Week 20 - Conference Championships - 2009 Season

Woo Woo! Woof Woof who lets the dogs out! 4 out 4 last week in picks!!! As in the words of Yogi Berra, that's like getting all of them right...

So here we are at the Championship Games - lets take a look see at what we got...


N.Y.Jets @ Indianapolis Colts - Following the Jets and their progress these last several weeks I have noticed that they are getting weery and defense although tops is ruffling around the edges.

This last game against SD, they came on top by a slim margin, because SD field goal kicker missed 3 FGs and Jets did not play sharp like they did against Cincinnati. Road travel getting to them? 4 roads game in 5 weeks!

Check some stats and you'll see that out of 5 meaningful games Jets have played on road (N.O., Miami, N. Eng., Cinn.,S.D.) against better teams the defense is not to tops. 114 total pts. gave up for an avg of 22.8 per game.

Colts defense looked good against Baltimore. Peyton and offense IMO was a little off, especially on some of his long throws. Other than that it seems like the resting did actually help the Colts this year.

Looking at their 5 meaningful home games against some top teams (Houston, N. Eng., Tenn., Denver, Baltimore) and you get a defense that has gave up only 87 total pts. for an avg. of 17.4 per game. Not to shabby...

I stand with my Colts and I do believe the travel will hit the Jets at Lucas Oil Stadium > Colts 26 - - Jets 18


Minnesota @ New Orleans - most people think this is a match up of two high flying teams, when IMO it's just one. I don't believe either will score in the 40's or 50's and only one will probably reach 30 pts.

Defense as usual in all these games will be the key and N.O. has a better defense by a slight margin. Minnesota has not played well on the road all year and after the few weeks of rest that N.O. had, it seems like they were back in form against Arizona.

As much as I would like to see Brett Favre make it this year I just don't think it will happen. Minnesota defense will not be able to contain Brees to any hopeful point. Although I don't see either team blowing the other out, I do believe N.O. will come out on top.

I might add this little disclaimer: that this game more so than the Jets/Colts game could go either way, NO by upright win or Minn. with a few lucky ticks at the right moment > New Orleans 30 - - Minnesota 25


Be seeing you, Knobby...

Week 19 - 2009 Playoffs

Welcome to week 19 of NFL 2009 season!

Some good games played last week, I ended up 2 for 2 winning my Jets & Arizona picks and losing my New Eng. & Phil. picks

First, I want to give you a couple of little playoff history tidbits here: In the last 6 playoff seasons 2003 - 2008 there has been a home team and/or a bye week team play in the Super Bowl.

2003 - New England { #1 defense AFC & over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - won SB - - Carolina { #3 defense NFC & #6 over-all } lost SB but had home field 1 time & no bye week.

2004 - New England { #2 defense AFC & over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - won SB - - Philadelphia { #1 defense NFC & #3 over-all } lost SB but had home field adv and bye week.

2005 - Seattle { #3 defense NFC & #7 over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - lost SB - - Pittsburgh { #2 defense AFC & #4 over-all } won SB, played all 3 playoff game away & no bye week.

2006 - Chicago { #1 defense NFC & #3 over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - lost SB - - Colts { #6 defense AFC & #11 over-all } won SB and had home field 2 times & no bye week.

2007 - New England { #3 defense AFC & #4 over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - lost SB - - NYG { #6 defense NFC & #12 over-all } won SB played all 3 playoff games away & no bye week.

2008 - Pittsburgh { #1 defense AFC & #1 over-all } - Home team adv. & bye week - won SB - - Arizona { #6 defense NFC & #12 over-all } had home field 2 times & no bye week.

Defense can win Games! Be it strong, lucky, skilled or any and all 3, Defense can win Games.

Not a 100 % sure bet, but close. The odds of a better defense team winning and moving on during season, playoffs are in their favor more than not.


My winning picks are in the usual RED...


Saturday Games:

Arizona @ New Orleans - Arizona ranks 4th defense in NFC & 10th over-all among the playoff teams. New Orleans ranks 6th defense in NFC & 12th over-all.

New Orleans has rested they hurt while Arizona has gotten new hurts. Warner & crew played well against GB but their defense was slowly fading as it got further & further into game.

I think we will see a re-new N. O. team and they will give the home fans a little something to cheer about...

Baltimore @ Indianapolis - Baltimore ranks 2th defense in AFC & 3rd over-all among the playoff teams. Indianapolis ranks 5th defense AFC & 7th over-all.

Let me first say that I hope Colts management knows what their doing by what they have done!

Anyways, Baltimore came out fast and played hot against N..Eng. but N. Eng. seemed to be missing alot of alot like motivation, tackles, spunk, drive, etc.

Colts all season had a nick-knack paddy whack for somehow, somewhere pulling wins out of the hat. Hopefully their players are rested and not out of sinc. I stand by them again this week as usual...

Sunday Games:

Dallas @ Minnesota - Dallas ranks #1 defense NFC & #2 over-all among playoff teams. Minnesota ranks #3 defense in NFC & #8 over-all.

Well Dallas has surprise me, they've played really well, much better than I thought they would in the last several weeks. But they head to Minnesota where Mr. Favre is Mr. Perfect.

Dallas defense has gotten stronger in last weeks of play and Minnesota's has been good all along.

Only thing you have to look for is strength of opposing teams and could they be the reason for an improving defense or a seemly strong one. Looking at games for both teams Minnesota has a slight edge in playing stronger teams. I just don't think Dallas can carry it for another week.

N. Y. Jets @ San Diego - Jets rank #1 defense AFC & overall among playoff teams. S.D. ranks #6 AFC & 9th over-all.

Jets looked damn good against Cincinnati and why not they had motivation, defense, etc. and like I said last week I like the way the Jets look - good American football.

San Diego has been on a terror streak these last 11 weeks and alot of people are saying they could win SB. They haven't played the Jets yet!

For the Pro Football U-pickem gang - - Jets 22 - SD 20

See you all later, Knobby

Week 17 - Sunday Games - 2009 Season

Welcome to the last regular week of NFL football - this week will be like throwing darts at balloons with the wind blowing. Some teams are still in the hunt for playoff spots, while others are just going to try to end on a positive note or two. So picking winners this week is guessing which teams will do what with their starters, which teams are good enough to win with 3rd string players, etc, etc,.

As usual my winning picks are in that fabulous color RED!

COLTS

Jacksonville

New Orleans - I am changing this pick over to Carolina, because NO staff have decided to sit the big kids. Don't want them hurt over a silly little game, now do we???

Dallas

Detroit

Houston

Miami

Minnesota

N.Y. Jets

San Francisco

Atlanta

Arizona

Baltimore

Washington

Denver

Tennessee 24 - Seattle 17

See you next week for the playoffs!!!!! Knobby...

Week 16 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

Hope everyone is enjoying their holiday weekend - not much posting for me, Grandkids have been keeping me busy. I will say, in my picking the pros game, I did pick SD to beat Tenn on Friday. So hey, I'm one up for the week.

Oh, last week was a disaster - 5 right out 16 games - but, as Bob Dylan would sing, it's all good!

As for todays games and Monday nite game my picks to win are:

Atlanta

Cincinnati

Cleveland

Green Bay

Houston

N. Y. Giants

N. England

New Orleans

Baltimore

Arizona

Detroit

COLTS

Philadelphia

Sunday Nite Game: Dallas 24 - Washington 16

Monday Nite Game: Minnesota

Enjoy the rest of the weekend and go out and do something with family and friends.

Be seeing you, Knobby

Week 15 - 2009 Season - Thursday Night Game

Hey Hey Hey - we're getting close to the end of regular season and playoff time.

Last week I went 12 -4 making me 130/208 for 62% right so far this season.

COLTS @ Jacksonville - Lots of questions surrounding this game this week. Will they, can they, maybe, wait and see, etc. The Colts with their win over Denver cliched home field advantage for all playoff games, which is good. They also have a bye the first week of playoffs, which might be good or might be bad depending on how and who plays these next 3 games.

The reason I say that is because Dungy was a firm believer in resting players at the end of season games and most of the time they would end up losing during playoffs while teams that fought the whole season through were more playoff ready. I call it 'getting out of sinc' - any sport and especially ones where there is alot of physical activity like football, mountain biking (my field), skiing, etc. and you sit for extended periods of time not doing and it does not take long to get out of sinc, having to regroup and regain momentum.

So far all that I have read Caldwell will not be letting up, as by these statements:

"We're going to approach the 14th game exactly like we did one through 13. We're going to prepare just like we did for the first 13 and we're going to play just like we did the first 13," Caldwell said. "The only thing that would deter anyone from playing is a health issue.

"We're not going to assign numbers, in terms of plays, for anybody. We didn't do that for the first 13 games, and we're not going to do it for No. 14, either."

So time will tell and we will see how true to his word Caldwell will be come tomorrow night. But I think in the back of the Colts mind there is no doubt that they would love to surpass what the Patriots achieved in 2007 by going 16-0, then sweeping through the playoffs and actually winning the championship.

P.S. Thanks to IndySportsNation.com for Peyton Manning pic.

Week 13 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

UPDATE -SUNDAY 11AM

I'm changing my pick prediction on the New Eng. vs Miami game - due to more reading and that Bookies are now pulling the game off the books and the recent rumors of Brady finger being hurt - something is in the air that I'm not liking... So new prediction is Miami 23 - New Eng. 17

Also Tampa Bay vs Carolina is being changed too. I am now picking TB to win with news that RB DeAngelo Williams, WR Dwayne Jarrett, FB Tony Fiammetta and others are all inactive today...


This past Thursday night game didn't go as I suspected it would as the Bills defense lapsed for several minutes in the closing first half which ended up being the difference in the game. As they keep saying you have to play the full 60 and the coaches have to have a starting game, a middle game and an exit game.

My picks to win are in RED -

Philadelphia at Atlanta - If McNabb shows up for this game Philadelphia should do good...

SEE UPDATE ABOVE - - - Tampa Bay at Carolina - Carolina should have game plan in place already for this match-up. Even with Delhomme out it won't matter as this will be a running game to win.

St Louis at Chicago - Here's a up-set - I think St.Louis is going to come in and surprise Mr. Smiths team, which will not be good for him staying at Chicago..

Detroit at Cincinnati - I wish Detroit the best and hope they can pull an up-set off, but I'm not holding my breath...

Denver at Kansas City - Denver has to be on top of game here, because as shown in past KC can get ya and beat you if you let them.

Houston at Jacksonville - Houston is favored in this game - I don't see it happening. Jacksonville plays good at home and I think Houston will be dragging their mental thoughts from a disappointing loss to the Colts last Sunday with them to this game

Tennessee at Indianapolis - Scared is the word here for me, I know it will not be the end of the world if Colts lose but darn I would like to see them go 16 - 0 for the season... We will see how this seasons Colts rope-a-dope playing, plays out against Mr. Fisher, Mr. Young and team...

SEE ABOVE UPDATE ------ New England at Miami - Miami will make it tough but I see NE lasting long enough to win (NE 24 - Miami 16)

New Orleans at Washington - If NO comes into this game with a ho-hum attitude they could end up on the losing end. Washington has nothing to lose and everything to gain with a victory so NO better not be thinking easy come - easy go with Washington...

Oakland at Pittsburgh - Pittsburgh needs to get back in gear and should be able to do so with Oakland in town...

San Diego at Cleveland - Only factor I see here is the COLD might affect SD playing attitude...

Dallas at New York Giants - As you know Eli has a foot problem which is now complicated by a stress reaction, let me post a quote here from Eli - "In the games it doesn't bother me and I don't think about it. This is not something I am overly concerned with," Manning said. "It has been the same for probably the last three to four weeks, it's nothing new. I can go out and practice and do all I need to do." Hello! you've lost 5 of your last 6 games and JUST barely beat Atl. 2 weeks ago.... face it It's a problem for you and the team.

San Francisco at Seattle - Seattle lost the first time round this season and I don't think Seattle has it again this time around.

Sunday Night Game: Minnesota at Arizona - To many problem going on in Warners head and Favre is on a mission this year with a team that can carry that mission through.

Monday Night Game: Baltimore at Green Bay - Baltimore has a problem with teams that have good passing and if GB sticks to the plan and does not try to out run Baltimore they'll come up victors...

Be seeing you, Knobby.........

PS - Don't forget the 'Red kettle' bell ringers are out - carry a few extra dollar bills in your pocket to give so as to help, TY

Also if you can - PLEASE Donate to your local food bank or pantry today! Even just a small bag of staples or groceries can make a big difference in someones life, TY

Week 13 - 2009 Season - Thursday Night Game

Hello to all! Hope all is well with family, friends and life....

Last week my picks started good and ended mediocre - I went 13 and 3 which actually is very,very good, (total for year is 109 out of 176) it's just my Sunday night went sour on me. But, I did learn that New Orleans is a much better team than what I thought they would be against New Eng. or N. Eng is a much poorer team than we all thought...

That was a game where ppl should have said that New Eng. was being 'manhandled' instead of everyone ganging up on the Colts after their first quarter with Houston. I knew what Houston was trying to do and I also now know what the Colts strategy is in games... kinda of like Mohammad Alis 'rope-a-dope' let the opponent wear themselves out early and than pounce on them in the end...

Only 2 upsets last week which brings us back down to a avg. of 4.5 ea. wk. we also had 1 game that was pegged at 50/50

Thursday Night Game in Toronto, Canada

NY Jets vs Buffalo Bills - Both team came away with wins last week, both QBs looked better and also both defenses look real good. Right at the moment Jets are favored 56-57% to Buffalos 43-44% to win. To me there both pretty much even - with the edge going to Buffalo. Fitzpatrick being the better QB and last 2 weeks him and TO seem to be on the same path. This game will more than likely come down to turn-overs/interceptions. In their earlier meeting Buffalo INT. Sanchez 5 times, while Jets only had 1 against Fitzpatrick. Look for Bills defense to stepped up this week again as they did last week against Miami

Have a good one and I'll be back sometime Friday evening with this weekends picks...

PS - Don't forget the 'Red kettle' bell ringers are out - carry a few extra dollar bills in your pocket to give so as to help, TY

Also if you can - PLEASE Donate to your local food bank or pantry today! Even just a small bag of staples or groceries can make a big difference in someones life, TY

Week 12 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

Hope all of you had a fine Thanksgiving Day? With my picks going 3 for 3 mine was great... lol

This Sunday and Monday games we're seeing some tough match-ups, which means some games might have up-sets of the unexpected kind.

My picks to win are in RED -

Tampa Bay at Atlanta - a match-up of 2 teams who I presume had high hopes for the year and have failed miserably. TB is bad on both sides of the ball, while Atl. at moments can muster a good run or two offensively.

Miami at Buffalo - Buffalo in earlier games looked like they were going to bust out and make a season, but last 3 games due to high injuries, changed of QB, new mid-season coach -they have sunk into a pit. Even with Miami losing some players, they have shown depth. Look for Ricky Williams to star again this week.

Carolina at New York Jets - Jets started out a power house in first 3 games of season and then went South winning only at Oakland in the last 7 games. Panthers - started poorly and then have gone up, down, almost, etc. Even though most odds are favoring Jets to win - I see it differently... Look for close game though.

Cleveland at Cincinnati - This is game where one team should really just have to stand on the field and win - but we know from last week that is not the case in all games. Just know also that even though these two should be different as day and night, this is going to be a close game.

Indianapolis at Houston - Could happen you know, Houston winning this one, but for some reason the COLTS have found a way to win each game this year, even by the tiniest of margins.

Washington at Philadelphia - Not going to be the same type game we saw last week against Dallas

Seattle at St Louis - St Louis can't buy a win, although Detroit did help them one week to look good. They can play tough at home. Seattle can't play on the road - they are a terrible road team... They have played well against poor teams. Look for change in St. Louis QB not helping, they will be losing what little consistency they were building.

Jacksonville at San Francisco - tough and close game with many peak moments but, look for Gore to hold it together for SF.

Kansas City at San Diego - Please don't look for KC to do this week what they did last week. Although this game will be closer than the score was the first time these two met...

Arizona at Tennessee - I have look and look and look at stats for these teams, trying to figure out where the key point is for this game. I found it - Arizona has lost one game this year and it was because the opposite team had a running game and ran circles around Arizonas defense. Look for Tenn. to do the same with Young being a added element of surprise.

Chicago at Minnesota - Favre and crew at home against a team that continues to let their QB get hit, hit and hit...

Sunday Night Game - Baltimore at Pittsburgh - Poor Pittsburgh just doesn't seem to be their year, which is fine their still a great football team and as always even great teams have down years... Baltimore 22 - Pittsburgh 18

Monday Night Game - New England at New Orleans - Hype game of the week - New England defense is good but if on the field to much they weaken terribly and NE has lost 3 out 4 road games - NO offense is high-flying and can put together extended drives as well as short quick ones. New England through the year has played the tougher teams. Look for turn overs to be big part of game. This game will come down to who has the ball last...

Week 11 - 2009 Season

Ok, I'm off to another rousing start this week - lost that pick last night. Strange year so far - Teams that should BLOW others teams out of the water, LOSE. Teams that lose all their players WIN because of ref calls. If I didn't know better I would say the NFL was turning into the WWE - with pre-scripted endings no matter how real the playing on the field looks.

And coaching! Games are being lost because coaches that don't know how to coach or they can't coach properly because of all the snotty nose players now a days... We're not in Kansas any more Toto... maybe Rush is right... Oh well...

6 upsets in week 10 which brings that stat up to 48 upset games for the season which averages out to 4.8 up set games per week.

As usual my picks to win are in RED -

Atlanta at New York Giants - Giants have rested for a week now and hopefully they have gotten themselves together again and Eli ankle is better. Atlanta is not a good road team this year. Giants should sneak one in this week.

Indianapolis at Baltimore - Will the Colts be complacent this week after their huge come-back win last week? Baltimore can be tough but if Colts want to show they are Super-Bowl material they need to win this game. Colts win but probably by not more than 6pts.

Buffalo at Jacksonville - Buffalo is a mess, totally and now their on the road...

Cleveland at Detroit - How do you pick a winner from 2 losers? I can tell you that this game is going to be LOWWWWWW scoring and hopefully the Lions can get that extra FG to win this game.

Washington at Dallas - Contrary to rumors running about, Dallas is not going to blow Washington away, this is going to be a defensive game with scoring in upper teens. Dallas should come out on top

San Francisco at Green Bay - After that Tampa Bay game, GBs defense got a good chewing out and came on like stormtroopers against Dallas. With them still being at home this week they should play well again... GB also needs to win in order to keep their wild-card playofff chances alive.

Pittsburgh at Kansas City - Pittsburgh shouldn't have too much trouble with KC this week as long as they focus on the game and not take it to lightly - than they could find themselves in trouble.

Seattle at Minnesota - I'm still wondering why Seattle is only being given a 1% chance of winning this game. Anyways, this is the 2nd road game on a 3 road game trip for Seattle, which is not good, plus they can allow alot of pts. Mr. Favre and crew should come out on top by 10 or more pts.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay - N.O. just escaped last week with a win over St. Louis and now this is their 2nd road game in so many weeks. Tampa with Freeman at quarterback is a totally different team then weeks ago. I am going out on a limb here and I think Tampa Bay will pull off a win this week.

Arizona at St Louis - Arizona has to focus on this game to win but don't be surprised if St. Louis wins either.

Cincinnati at Oakland - Same thing for this game, these high powered teams have to focus and play hard against these lesser teams or else.

New York Jets at New England Patriots - Poor, Poor, Poor Jets - The Patriots revenge on them after last weeks mistakes vs Colts will be brutal...

San Diego at Denver - Denver certainly has fallen in the last 3 weeks, while SD has risen top side. Will home base help Denver? without Orton don't look for it this week...

Philadelphia at Chicago - I'll be honest here, I don't like McNabb, don't know why, never met him, never talked to him, never tweeted with him but for some odd reason the man just comes across to me as a ass! So that said, I'm picking for Chicago to win and if they again can focus, focus and offense can pick it up some what they should be able to do it... Chicago 21 - Philadelphia 17

Tennessee at Houston - Houston won the match-up earlier this season between them but only by 3pts & Tenn. was not playing Young. I truly believe things will be different this time around.

Week 10 - 2009 NFL Season

FRIDAY 11/13/2009 RE-DO OF THIS WEEKS POSTING...

This week we start with the NFL channel broadcasting Thursday night games, so picks and fantasy teams have to be in earlier now. Also starting this week I will go into more depth analysis with each match-up...

Last week I went 9 for 13 (some what of a respectful showing) - making me 77 out of 128 games (60%). There were 6 upsets last week - which raises the weekly upset avg. from last weeks 4.50 to 4.66 upset games a week so far. 4 of the 6 teams with week 8 byes won in week 9 which brings that total to: 14 out 24 teams have won following a bye week.

TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:

Thursday Night Game:

Chicago @ San Francisco - Bears playing in away games have a poor offense & defense, as seen by their away record: 4 away games with total of 64 pts for vs 106 against. 49ers at home play on a much more even keel: 4 homes games with total of 95 PF vs 89 PA. In this match-up 49ers should come up with somewhere between 24 - 26 pts while Bears will probably only muster about 19 to 23 pts.

11/13/09 - San Francisco won last night 10 - 6 over Bears in a really un-bearable game to watch, but even though the pts. were off from what I said they would be the winning range was correct. Overall I had 49ers winning by 3 to 5 pts.

Sunday Early Games:

Atlanta @ Carolina - This match-up could be a toss up this week. Atl in travel games play pretty evenly offensively & defensively: 4 away games with total 103 PF vs 108 PA. Panthers struggle at home in 3 home games so far they have 39 PF vs 75 PA. Look for Atl to get about 25 - 26 pts while Panthers should come up with about 20 - 22, although they could because of Atls loose defense get upwards of 27 - 28 pts and pull off a win. Overall looking at Atlanta winning by 4-5 pts.

Tampa Bay @ Miami - TB pulled a big upset last week at home against GB but, that game withstanding TB still allows too many pts on the road and hasn't been able so far to match it with what they put up: In a total of 3 away games they have 47 PF vs 82 PA. Miamis defense is about the same as TBs only difference is their offense can out score what their defense allows: In 4 home games they have 126 PF vs 110 PA. This game Miami should score somewhere in the range of 28 - 30 pts vs TB which will probably only get 21 to 25 pts. Overall looking at Miami winning by 5 - 7 pts.

Detroit @ Minnesota - With me living in Michigan and although I am 100% COLTS fan, I always have a soft spot in me for the Lions. I always wish them the best and root for them (whenever their not playing the COLTS) but it's a hard team to root for week in and week out. This week is no different - I wish and hope they win but it's just not in the cards again. On the road the Lions defense lets teams score double what their offense puts up: 4 away games and they have 71 PF vs 153 PA. Minnesota at home with Favre now playing for them score pts: 3 home games so far this year with 90 PF vs 78 PA. Based on my math figuring we should see Minn. get 34 - 38 pts this game vs Detroits 21 to 26 pts. Overall looking at Minnesota winning by 12 - 13 pts.

Jacksonville @ N.Y.Jets - Jacksonville is spotty at best in away games, they can score 30 pts or they can score 0 pts. Don't me why or even how they can play like this but they do: 4 road games they have 56 PF vs 109 PA. Jets can be tough at home if their on their game: In 4 home games 78 PF vs 72 PA. Jacksonville should play tough but Jets defense will subdue them, Jacksonville about 16 - 18 pts, Jets getting 23-27 pts. Overall looking at Jets winning by 7 - 9 pts.

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh - Here's another game where either team could win this week. Cincinnati can play on the road and they usually find a way to win: 3 road games this year they stand with 71 PF vs 58 PA. Pittsburgh is tough, no question about it but, they could let down this week after last weeks Denver game and Cincinnati has beat them once this year. Pittsburgh in 4 home games has: 105 PF vs 69 PA. Average math calculations looks for Cincinnati to get 20 - 23 pts and Pittsburgh getting 22 - 26 pts. Overall looking at Pittsburgh winning by 2 - 3 pts.

New Orleans @ St. Louis - OK, lets move on to the next game....But, if by chance St. Louis does win, it would have to go down as major up-set game of the century...

Buffalo @ Tennessee - This is match-up #3 this week that I am seeing as either team winning. Both Buffalo and Tennessee are evenly matched, with the slight edge going to Buffalos defense. The odd man in the whole equation is Vince Young, so far in his two games played since being put in he has played great. Buffalo in 4 road games: 70 PF vs 85 PA - Tennessee in 3 home games has 70 PF vs 78 PA. I'm seeing Buffalo scoring 23-26 pts and Tenn. right around 22-23 pts. Overall looking at Buffalo winning by 1 - 3 pts.

Denver @ Washington - Denver after winning their first 6 games has lost 2 in a row now, so they need this game to straighten the ship. Washingtons offense is pitiful this year, no matter where they play. Denver on the road in 4 away games: 76 PF vs 63 PA. Washington in 4 home games: 48 PF vs 61 PA. Look for Denver to get between 15 to 18 pts this game while Washington ends up with 12 to 14 pts. Overall looking at Denver winning by 3 - 4 pts.

Sunday Late Games:

Kansas City @ Oakland - 2 teams that have not done what they were expecting themselves to do this year. Match-up #4 this week for me as either team having a chance to win. KC in 4 away games have: 73 PF vs 92 PA. Oakland in 4 home games has 36 PF vs 94 PA. Loosely figuring things up in my brain I see KC scoring between 20-23 pts while Oakland could possibly get anywhere from 16 to 23 pts.
Overall looking at Kansas City winning by 3 - 4 pts.

Seattle @ Arizona - 2 teams with loose defenses and Seattle playing poorly on road while Arizona this year has played poorly at home. In 3 road games Seattle has 44 PF vs 95 PA. Arizona fairs a little better in 4 home games with 75 total PF vs 106 total PA. All though this game COULD go either way, Arizona should hold on to win by getting between 24 - 31 pts and holding Seattle to 20 - 25 pts. Overall looking at Arizona winning by 4 - 6 pts.

Dallas @ Green Bay - Where the heck was Green Bay last week in Tampa Bay? Dallas started this year very shaky but since the KC game on 10/11/09 they have played solid. Green Bay seems to have lost track this year, although their record shows 4 victories, they have been against poor teams (Chicago, St.Louis, Detroit, Cleveland). Still this game is not a shoo-in for Dallas: In 4 road games Dallas has 90 total PF vs 74 PA. In 4 home games Green Bay has 97 total PF vs 84 PA. Look for Dallas getting 20-25 pts while GB rounds up about 18-22 pts. Overall looking at Dallas winning by 2 - 3 pts.

Philadelphia @ San Diego - I have said it before and I will say it again - Philadelphia plays whatever way McNabbs feels about the opposing team or QB. Only problem is you don't know how McNabb feels about a game or opposing QB until game time, so it makes it hard to pick whether they will win or not. Phil. in 3 road games has 74 PF vs 40 PA. San Diego in 4 home games has 96 PF vs 94 PA. IMO McNabb will try to show Rivers up this week so look for Phil. to score between 23 - 28 pts with Phil. defense holding SD to 13 - 18 pts. Overall looking at Philadelphia winning by 5 - 10 pts.

Sunday Night Game:

New England @ Indianapolis - OMG! but will this game hold up to all the hype for it? Although alot of media hype this week about this match-up, it really only centers around P. Manning vs T. Brady. In reality if you look, neither team has really played tough opposing teams. Colts have played very well on the road while lacking at home but still winning. New England has played a little tougher teams than Colts have but still no over-whelming ones and have lost some that they probably should have won. In 4 home games the Colts have 86 PF vs 60 PA. New Eng. in 3 road games has 61 PF vs 43 PA. All in all two evenly match teams, look for New Eng. to get 17 to 20 pts. while Peyton and crew should pull out about 18 to 23 pts. Very close game and ranks as match-up #5 as a victory could happen for either team. Overall looking at COLTS winning by 1 - 3 pts.

Monday Night Game:

Baltimore @ Cleveland - Word is out that Quinn will be starting QB for Browns but, that will only gain Cleveland some extra points not a win. Baltimore has been up and down all year but not that down that they allow Quinn to beat them. In 4 away games Baltimore has 90 PF vs 103 PA. Cleveland has totals of 43 PF vs 88 PA in 3 home games. Baltimore should put up between 23 - 29 pts with Browns showing about 14 - 20 pts. Overall looking at Baltimore winning by 3 - 9 pts.

I'm looking at just 3 up-sets this week (Buffalo, K.C., Phil.)

Have a great week!

For Randy Inman predictions go here: Week 10

Be seeing you, Knobby...

Week 9 - 2009 Season

Getting later and later with posting my predictions here lately, sorry about that.

Lets get started first with where we stand in some of the stats:

Last week I went 7 for 13 - making me 68 out of 115 games. There were 5 upsets last week - which raises the weekly upset avg. from last weeks 4.42 to 4.5 upset games a week so far. Last week 2 of the 6 teams with week 7 byes won which brings that total to: 10 out 18 teams with previous byes win the following week...

TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:

Sunday Early Games:

Baltimore Ravens (4-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals* (5-2)

Houston Texans (5-3) @ Indianapolis Colts (7-0)

Green Bay Packers (4-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7)

Arizona Cardinals* (4-3) @ Chicago Bears (4-3)

Kansas City Chiefs (1-6) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4)

Miami Dolphins (3-4) @ New England Patriots (5-2)

Washington Redskins (2-5) @ Atlanta Falcons (4-3)

Sunday Afternoon Games:

Carolina Panthers (3-4) @ New Orleans (7-0)

Detroit Lions (1-6) @ Seattle Seahawks (2-5)

Tennessee Titans* (1-6) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-4)

San Diego Chargers (4-3) @ New York Giants (5-3)

Sunday Night Football Game:

Dallas Cowboys (5-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-2) And for my weekly Pick-the-Pros pickers - Philadelphia 27 - Dallas 19

Monday Night Football Game:

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) @ Denver Broncos* (6-1)

I'm predicting 4 upsets this week - indicted by *

Hope you have a nice weekend & I'll be seeing you.

Knobby

Week 8 - 2009 Season

Good Day to you all, late on getting this up this week had a light touch of flu this week, just enough to make you sit there with enough energy to act like a zombie and just go through the motions.

Last week I went 9 for 13 - making me 61 out of 102 games. Why I picked Cleveland over GB last week will be a mystery for the ages.

There was 3 upsets last week - which brings the weekly upset avg. to 4.42 upset games a week so far.

Last week 2 of the 4 teams with week 6 byes won which brings that total to: 8 out 12 teams with previous byes win the following week...

TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:

Denver at Baltimore - Denver is rising while Baltimore is wondering

Houston at Buffalo - Houston can play or they can watch, Buffalo can play or they can watch

Cleveland at Chicago - As the song from the Drew Cary show use to say 'Cleveland Rocks' yeah right, not this year...

Seattle at Dallas - Seattle is just a poor travel team, always has been

St Louis at Detroit - Could be the surprise game of week, hopefully Detroit finds a way to win and not the opposite

San Francisco at Indianapolis - Come on it's the COLTS

Miami at New York Jets - More than likely Miami will again razzle dazzle the Jets

New York Giants at Philadelphia - Hopefully Giants find themselves this week against a team whose win record has been built against poor teams. (Giants 28 - Eagles 24)

Jacksonville at Tennessee - In my book Fisher doesn't care anymore but he will post a win this week

Oakland at San Diego - Unless a another Philadelphia miracle happens SD should pull it out

Carolina at Arizona - Carolina will play tough but Arizona has the tools to overcome

Minnesota at Green Bay - If you look at their game list you'll see that both teams have not played any good teams with the exception last week of the Minn/Pitts. which Minn. lost.

Atlanta at New Orleans - WOW! what a come from behind victory last week for NO. Should continue winning ways this week also but hey, ANY GIVEN SUNDAY!

Looking at my picks I have 5 upsets this week so we will see...

For more week 8 picks go & look at this fine site: Randy Inman


Be seeing you, Knobby...

Week 5 - 2009 Season

OUCH! OUCH! OUCH!

Shooting for the stars last week and didn't even reach the moon - OUCH!

Ended up with 7 correct out of 14 games giving me a total on the season of 39 out of 61 games...

Upsets: Week 1 - we had 3 upsets, Week 2 - we had 8 upsets, Week 3 - we had 3 upsets. Last week I predicted 5 upset games and there was 3. This week I am predicting 3 upset games

So moving on to this weeks picks;

TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN


Cincinnati @ Baltimore - Ravens SHOULD handle this one

Cleveland @ Buffalo - Cleveland has no defense, Buffalo although hurting should pull it out.

Washington @ Carolina - 2 poor teams but when all said and done Washington will walked away with victory.

Pittsburgh @ Detroit - HAHAHAHAHAHA Detroit will battle like the devil 1st half and then implode amongst themselves in 2nd...

Dallas @ K C - Dallas score wise has been working backwards from game 1, KC has been even steven but still no cigar. PS: If by chance Dallas loses look to the south and watch the bright red rocket shooting towards the sky with Coach Phillips on it...

Oakland @ N Y G - With or without Eli, Oakland is poor competition for Giants

T B @ Phildelphia - McNabb and Westbrook should be back and TB lost to Washington, nothing else to say...

Minnesota @ St.Louis - The Farve circus will make the Arch look like a side show in a carnival...

Atlanta @ S Fran. - This will be a GOOD game, look for close score but Singletarys men will be best.

Houston @ Arizona - Both teams have problems and as much as I like Warner, I'm afraid Houston will out score him and his playmates.

N. Eng. @ Denver - Is there snow in Denver? This game will prove whether Denver is real or not. Last week it looked like Dallas did themselves in more then Denver beat them.

Jacksonville @ Seattle - Jacksonville is improving each week, Seattle even with players coming back they are not healthy.

Sunday night game: COLTS @ Tenn. What did I say last week? (COLTS 27 - Tenn. 17)

Monday night game: N Y Jets @ Miami - 2nd week on road for Jets and Miami looked hot last week at home.

Week 4 - 2009 Season

First off let me state this: NEVER EVER GO AGAINST YOUR MOST FAVORITE TEAM NO MATTER WHO TELLS YOU WHAT! NEVER EVER! Ok got that out of the way...

I was 10 for 16 last week which puts me 32 right out of 47 games but that's what you get when you pick the wrong upset teams each week and you just know there are going to be upsets every week. Week 1 - we had 3 upsets, Week 2 - we had 8 upsets and last week we had 3 upsets. This week I am predicting 5 upset games.

Teams in RED are my picks to win this week

First the no-brainer picks:

Cincinnati @ Cleveland

Oakland @ Houston

Seattle @ COLTS

NY Giants @ Kansas City

St Louis @ San Francisco

Second, lets go with very well could happen picks:

Baltimore @ New England - Balt. still a good defense and now they have added a offense. NE has not been protecting Brady well enough.

And Sunday nights game - San Diego @ Pittsburgh - Pitts. is down in the dumps this year and SD has been scoring well. For my pick the pro players: (SD 24 - Pittsburgh 20)

Lastly the will they or won't they picks:

Detroit @ Chicago - Going with Detroit b/c their flying high right now and stats are showing their putting more pts. on board then Chicago

Tennessee @ Jacksonville - Jacksonville played real well last week, their at home and Tenn. is not a good playing away team.

Tampa Bay @ Washington - Does DC have a team or are they just politicians dress in football gear?

Buffalo @ Miami - This is going to be a tough as nails game for anyone to predict. Close as butter on bread but I favor Buffalo by ever so slim of pts.

N Y Jets @ New Orleans - Jets are good for some reason this year and they will put on a good tough show but I'm looking at Mr. Brees to win out in the end.

Dallas @ Denver - Good defense for Denver but Dallas has more tools

And Monday Night Game - Green Bay @ Minnesota - Will Bretts luck hold out longer or will GBs defense come to life? I'm betting on GBs defense coming alive...

Week 3 - 2009 Season UPDATE!

7pm EDT - I'm not doing to bad as long as my 4pm games hold up , but I have decided that my Sunday night pick will Arizona 27 - COLTS 23. I just don't believe the colts defense has enough oompf in them to last 4 quarters against Warner, coming off the tough and long Miami game and then short week and fly out west

Colts Coaching Changes?

News out this morning is the Colts are in for another shake-up in their coaching staff. Offensive line coach Howard Mudd has informed the Colts he is planning to retire immediately because of the pension-plan changes, according to team and league sources. Mr Mudd has been with the Colts for 12 years, and is 67 years old. The reason for his possible stepping down is because of the changes made by the owners this past March concerning the pension program for non-players.

Payton Manning has been there 11 years and has known no other NFL offensive line except that one under Moore/Mudd team. Tom Moore, 70 also has been the Colts offensive coordinator for 12 years also. Moore was able to reached for any comments, as to his plans of either staying or retiring .

If all this takes place and with Colts under a new coach already, it should be interesting to see how if any this will effect the high-firing Colts offense.