Sunday, December 27, 2009

Week 16 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

Hope everyone is enjoying their holiday weekend - not much posting for me, Grandkids have been keeping me busy. I will say, in my picking the pros game, I did pick SD to beat Tenn on Friday. So hey, I'm one up for the week.

Oh, last week was a disaster - 5 right out 16 games - but, as Bob Dylan would sing, it's all good!

As for todays games and Monday nite game my picks to win are:

Atlanta

Cincinnati

Cleveland

Green Bay

Houston

N. Y. Giants

N. England

New Orleans

Baltimore

Arizona

Detroit

COLTS

Philadelphia

Sunday Nite Game: Dallas 24 - Washington 16

Monday Nite Game: Minnesota

Enjoy the rest of the weekend and go out and do something with family and friends.

Be seeing you, Knobby

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Week 15 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

WoW! NO lost last nite! I bet they're ALOT of angry betters out there this morning - LOL Good job Dallas for stepping up and proving critics wrong...

On to todays games and MNF game.

My picks to win are in Red:

Arizona at Detroit - Poor Poor Detroit, someday though, right?? Their house will land on the wicked witch of the west and they will live happilly ever after in OZ. Just not this week though...

Atlanta at New York Jets - Good game here and Jets should sneak a win out

New England at Buffalo - Buffalo plays NEng tough, came within a hair of beating them first game of season. NEng seems to be messed up this season. I'm going out on a limb and well you know it's just me, it's all for fun anyways, right?

Chicago at Baltimore - I think Chicago finally made it, jeez talk about bad scheduling of travel plans...

Cleveland at Kansas City - I don't think the Brown players like their coach and will make sure he doesn't come back next year...

Houston at St Louis - I think half of St Louis has the flu, hard to play when your throwing up

Miami at Tennessee - Yes, Young is suppose to return and play, but IMO Miami will handle the situation

San Francisco at Philadelphia - Ok, I going to crawl out on another limb here and only because I like Mike Singletary. I think the 49'ers will be a force to reckon with in 1 to 2 more years...

Cincinnati at San Diego - All reports that I'm seeing is that Cincinnati players are all with-drawn over Chris Henrys death and probably visiting SD won't help matters

Oakland at Denver - Nope, Denver is mile high...

Green Bay at Pittsburgh - Now here is an interesting game, what the heck has happened to Steelers?????? Can they come back this week? I know one thing and that is their secondary has been beaten by lesser offensive teams then GB.

Tampa Bay at Seattle - Come on Seattle, put a win together for the old gipper before he leaves town!

Minnesota at Carolina - Now that NO has shown weakness, I hope Mr Favre has a run at the big one.. for you pick & Play ppl -> Minnesota 28/Carolina 19

New York Giants at Washington - My 2nd big upset of week, Giants will fold again for some unknown reason..

You all have a good one!

Peace & Love, Knobby

Saturday, December 19, 2009

Week 15 - 2009 Season - Saturday Night Game

Way to go Colts! good game all around... Now on to tonites game:

Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints - I just don't see Cowboys doing it tonite - I have looked for any angle that might lead me to believe they can win tonite and I can't come up with one. Trust me, being the risk taker in picks that I am I would pick them if there was anything other then just luck. The only thing I can come up with is I read where NO defense has played very tired in last 2 games, so maybe that might play to Cowboys advantage but, other then that all I got is they win by a fluke or something happens to Brees, etc

Take care, Knobby

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Week 15 - 2009 Season - Thursday Night Game





Hey Hey Hey - we're getting close to the end of regular season and playoff time.

Last week I went 12 -4 making me 130/208 for 62% right so far this season.

COLTS @ Jacksonville - Lots of questions surrounding this game this week. Will they, can they, maybe, wait and see, etc. The Colts with their win over Denver cliched home field advantage for all playoff games, which is good. They also have a bye the first week of playoffs, which might be good or might be bad depending on how and who plays these next 3 games.

The reason I say that is because Dungy was a firm believer in resting players at the end of season games and most of the time they would end up losing during playoffs while teams that fought the whole season through were more playoff ready. I call it 'getting out of sinc' - any sport and especially ones where there is alot of physical activity like football, mountain biking (my field), skiing, etc. and you sit for extended periods of time not doing and it does not take long to get out of sinc, having to regroup and regain momentum.

So far all that I have read Caldwell will not be letting up, as by these statements:

"We're going to approach the 14th game exactly like we did one through 13. We're going to prepare just like we did for the first 13 and we're going to play just like we did the first 13," Caldwell said. "The only thing that would deter anyone from playing is a health issue.

"We're not going to assign numbers, in terms of plays, for anybody. We didn't do that for the first 13 games, and we're not going to do it for No. 14, either."


So time will tell and we will see how true to his word Caldwell will be come tomorrow night. But I think in the back of the Colts mind there is no doubt that they would love to surpass what the Patriots achieved in 2007 by going 16-0, then sweeping through the playoffs and actually winning the championship.
P.S. Thanks to IndySportsNation.com for Peyton Manning pic.

Sunday, December 13, 2009

Week 14 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

Hello, yes I missed posting Thursday game and this post will be short. Not feeling really great again and alot of things going on this week...

For thoses interested I did pick Steelers to win Thursday and as we all know, they could not even beat Cleveland - how the mighty have fallen this year...

I'm just going to list my winners here for this week:

New Orleans

Baltimore

Kansas City

New England

Green Bay

Minnesota

COLTS

Houston

Miami

New York Jets

Oakland

Tennessee

San Diego

Sunday Night Game: New York Giants - 21 to 17 over Phildelphia

Monday Night Game: San Francisco

Saturday, December 5, 2009

Week 13 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

UPDATE -SUNDAY 11AM

I'm changing my pick prediction on the New Eng. vs Miami game - due to more reading and that Bookies are now pulling the game off the books and the recent rumors of Brady finger being hurt - something is in the air that I'm not liking... So new prediction is Miami 23 - New Eng. 17

Also Tampa Bay vs Carolina is being changed too. I am now picking TB to win with news that RB DeAngelo Williams, WR Dwayne Jarrett, FB Tony Fiammetta and others are all inactive today...


This past Thursday night game didn't go as I suspected it would as the Bills defense lapsed for several minutes in the closing first half which ended up being the difference in the game. As they keep saying you have to play the full 60 and the coaches have to have a starting game, a middle game and an exit game.

My picks to win are in RED -

Philadelphia at Atlanta - If McNabb shows up for this game Philadelphia should do good...

SEE UPDATE ABOVE - - - Tampa Bay at Carolina - Carolina should have game plan in place already for this match-up. Even with Delhomme out it won't matter as this will be a running game to win.

St Louis at Chicago - Here's a up-set - I think St.Louis is going to come in and surprise Mr. Smiths team, which will not be good for him staying at Chicago..

Detroit at Cincinnati - I wish Detroit the best and hope they can pull an up-set off, but I'm not holding my breath...

Denver at Kansas City - Denver has to be on top of game here, because as shown in past KC can get ya and beat you if you let them.

Houston at Jacksonville - Houston is favored in this game - I don't see it happening. Jacksonville plays good at home and I think Houston will be dragging their mental thoughts from a disappointing loss to the Colts last Sunday with them to this game

Tennessee at Indianapolis - Scared is the word here for me, I know it will not be the end of the world if Colts lose but darn I would like to see them go 16 - 0 for the season... We will see how this seasons Colts rope-a-dope playing, plays out against Mr. Fisher, Mr. Young and team...

SEE ABOVE UPDATE ------ New England at Miami - Miami will make it tough but I see NE lasting long enough to win (NE 24 - Miami 16)

New Orleans at Washington - If NO comes into this game with a ho-hum attitude they could end up on the losing end. Washington has nothing to lose and everything to gain with a victory so NO better not be thinking easy come - easy go with Washington...

Oakland at Pittsburgh - Pittsburgh needs to get back in gear and should be able to do so with Oakland in town...

San Diego at Cleveland - Only factor I see here is the COLD might affect SD playing attitude...

Dallas at New York Giants - As you know Eli has a foot problem which is now complicated by a stress reaction, let me post a quote here from Eli - "In the games it doesn't bother me and I don't think about it. This is not something I am overly concerned with," Manning said. "It has been the same for probably the last three to four weeks, it's nothing new. I can go out and practice and do all I need to do." Hello! you've lost 5 of your last 6 games and JUST barely beat Atl. 2 weeks ago.... face it It's a problem for you and the team.

San Francisco at Seattle - Seattle lost the first time round this season and I don't think Seattle has it again this time around.

Sunday Night Game: Minnesota at Arizona - To many problem going on in Warners head and Favre is on a mission this year with a team that can carry that mission through.

Monday Night Game: Baltimore at Green Bay - Baltimore has a problem with teams that have good passing and if GB sticks to the plan and does not try to out run Baltimore they'll come up victors...

Be seeing you, Knobby.........

PS - Don't forget the 'Red kettle' bell ringers are out - carry a few extra dollar bills in your pocket to give so as to help, TY

Also if you can - PLEASE Donate to your local food bank or pantry today! Even just a small bag of staples or groceries can make a big difference in someones life, TY

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Week 13 - 2009 Season - Thursday Night Game

Hello to all! Hope all is well with family, friends and life....

Last week my picks started good and ended mediocre - I went 13 and 3 which actually is very,very good, (total for year is 109 out of 176) it's just my Sunday night went sour on me. But, I did learn that New Orleans is a much better team than what I thought they would be against New Eng. or N. Eng is a much poorer team than we all thought...

That was a game where ppl should have said that New Eng. was being 'manhandled' instead of everyone ganging up on the Colts after their first quarter with Houston. I knew what Houston was trying to do and I also now know what the Colts strategy is in games... kinda of like Mohammad Alis 'rope-a-dope' let the opponent wear themselves out early and than pounce on them in the end...

Only 2 upsets last week which brings us back down to a avg. of 4.5 ea. wk. we also had 1 game that was pegged at 50/50

Thursday Night Game in Toronto, Canada

NY Jets vs Buffalo Bills - Both team came away with wins last week, both QBs looked better and also both defenses look real good. Right at the moment Jets are favored 56-57% to Buffalos 43-44% to win. To me there both pretty much even - with the edge going to Buffalo. Fitzpatrick being the better QB and last 2 weeks him and TO seem to be on the same path. This game will more than likely come down to turn-overs/interceptions. In their earlier meeting Buffalo INT. Sanchez 5 times, while Jets only had 1 against Fitzpatrick. Look for Bills defense to stepped up this week again as they did last week against Miami

Have a good one and I'll be back sometime Friday evening with this weekends picks...

PS - Don't forget the 'Red kettle' bell ringers are out - carry a few extra dollar bills in your pocket to give so as to help, TY

Also if you can - PLEASE Donate to your local food bank or pantry today! Even just a small bag of staples or groceries can make a big difference in someones life, TY

Friday, November 27, 2009

Week 12 - 2009 Season - Sunday/Monday Games

Hope all of you had a fine Thanksgiving Day? With my picks going 3 for 3 mine was great... lol

This Sunday and Monday games we're seeing some tough match-ups, which means some games might have up-sets of the unexpected kind.

My picks to win are in RED -

Tampa Bay at Atlanta - a match-up of 2 teams who I presume had high hopes for the year and have failed miserably. TB is bad on both sides of the ball, while Atl. at moments can muster a good run or two offensively.

Miami at Buffalo - Buffalo in earlier games looked like they were going to bust out and make a season, but last 3 games due to high injuries, changed of QB, new mid-season coach -they have sunk into a pit. Even with Miami losing some players, they have shown depth. Look for Ricky Williams to star again this week.

Carolina at New York Jets - Jets started out a power house in first 3 games of season and then went South winning only at Oakland in the last 7 games. Panthers - started poorly and then have gone up, down, almost, etc. Even though most odds are favoring Jets to win - I see it differently... Look for close game though.

Cleveland at Cincinnati - This is game where one team should really just have to stand on the field and win - but we know from last week that is not the case in all games. Just know also that even though these two should be different as day and night, this is going to be a close game.

Indianapolis at Houston - Could happen you know, Houston winning this one, but for some reason the COLTS have found a way to win each game this year, even by the tiniest of margins.

Washington at Philadelphia - Not going to be the same type game we saw last week against Dallas

Seattle at St Louis - St Louis can't buy a win, although Detroit did help them one week to look good. They can play tough at home. Seattle can't play on the road - they are a terrible road team... They have played well against poor teams. Look for change in St. Louis QB not helping, they will be losing what little consistency they were building.

Jacksonville at San Francisco - tough and close game with many peak moments but, look for Gore to hold it together for SF.

Kansas City at San Diego - Please don't look for KC to do this week what they did last week. Although this game will be closer than the score was the first time these two met...

Arizona at Tennessee - I have look and look and look at stats for these teams, trying to figure out where the key point is for this game. I found it - Arizona has lost one game this year and it was because the opposite team had a running game and ran circles around Arizonas defense. Look for Tenn. to do the same with Young being a added element of surprise.

Chicago at Minnesota - Favre and crew at home against a team that continues to let their QB get hit, hit and hit...

Sunday Night Game - Baltimore at Pittsburgh - Poor Pittsburgh just doesn't seem to be their year, which is fine their still a great football team and as always even great teams have down years... Baltimore 22 - Pittsburgh 18

Monday Night Game - New England at New Orleans - Hype game of the week - New England defense is good but if on the field to much they weaken terribly and NE has lost 3 out 4 road games - NO offense is high-flying and can put together extended drives as well as short quick ones. New England through the year has played the tougher teams. Look for turn overs to be big part of game. This game will come down to who has the ball last...

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Week 12 - 2009 Season - Thanksgiving Day Games

Hello to all! Hope you all will be enjoying your time with family and friends this week and hopefully not eat to much turkey and stuffing...

I went 11 for 16 last week which gives me 96 out of 160 for the season - not bad considering I am more of a rebel when picking teams. Always out to look for that extra win by the underdog team, which there was last week. 4 upsets including 2 big ones that very few including myself saw coming... KC over Pittsburgh and Oakland over Cincinnati... Which makes this season weekly upset avg. 4.72 upset games each week.

As for this weeks 3 Thursday games: As usual my picks to win are in RED

Green Bay @ Detroit - although fine gutsy playing by Stafford and Lions vs Cleveland last week I'm afraid it not going to carry over against GB. Even more so with Stafford having a injured arm/shoulder. I will give him this, if he can avoid becoming a injury prone QB he might be what the Lions have been looking for. But remember 1 winning game does not make a whole season nor does it make a winning team out of a poor team, it's just a step towards that goal.

Oakland @ Dallas - Don't let Oakland upset last week over Cinn. fool you they still have a long way to go. Dallas on the other hand better come awake or their going to find themselves out completely. To, To close against Washington last week for a supposedly number 1 team...

N Y Giants @ Denver - This match-up is a hard one for me this week. Both teams have fallen down and seem like they don't know how to get back up. Denver was blowin out by SD last week and NYG tried their best to give their game away with Atl. Both teams badly need a win and to toughen up their defenses. All the stats you could possibly go through lean towards NYG winning but, as we all know 'ANY GIVEN SUNDAY' or Thursday

Friday, November 20, 2009

Week 11 - 2009 Season

Ok, I'm off to another rousing start this week - lost that pick last night. Strange year so far - Teams that should BLOW others teams out of the water, LOSE. Teams that lose all their players WIN because of ref calls. If I didn't know better I would say the NFL was turning into the WWE - with pre-scripted endings no matter how real the playing on the field looks.

And coaching! Games are being lost because coaches that don't know how to coach or they can't coach properly because of all the snotty nose players now a days... We're not in Kansas any more Toto... maybe Rush is right... Oh well...

6 upsets in week 10 which brings that stat up to 48 upset games for the season which averages out to 4.8 up set games per week.

As usual my picks to win are in RED -

Atlanta at New York Giants - Giants have rested for a week now and hopefully they have gotten themselves together again and Eli ankle is better. Atlanta is not a good road team this year. Giants should sneak one in this week.

Indianapolis at Baltimore - Will the Colts be complacent this week after their huge come-back win last week? Baltimore can be tough but if Colts want to show they are Super-Bowl material they need to win this game. Colts win but probably by not more than 6pts.

Buffalo at Jacksonville - Buffalo is a mess, totally and now their on the road...

Cleveland at Detroit - How do you pick a winner from 2 losers? I can tell you that this game is going to be LOWWWWWW scoring and hopefully the Lions can get that extra FG to win this game.

Washington at Dallas - Contrary to rumors running about, Dallas is not going to blow Washington away, this is going to be a defensive game with scoring in upper teens. Dallas should come out on top

San Francisco at Green Bay - After that Tampa Bay game, GBs defense got a good chewing out and came on like stormtroopers against Dallas. With them still being at home this week they should play well again... GB also needs to win in order to keep their wild-card playofff chances alive.

Pittsburgh at Kansas City - Pittsburgh shouldn't have too much trouble with KC this week as long as they focus on the game and not take it to lightly - than they could find themselves in trouble.

Seattle at Minnesota - I'm still wondering why Seattle is only being given a 1% chance of winning this game. Anyways, this is the 2nd road game on a 3 road game trip for Seattle, which is not good, plus they can allow alot of pts. Mr. Favre and crew should come out on top by 10 or more pts.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay - N.O. just escaped last week with a win over St. Louis and now this is their 2nd road game in so many weeks. Tampa with Freeman at quarterback is a totally different team then weeks ago. I am going out on a limb here and I think Tampa Bay will pull off a win this week.

Arizona at St Louis - Arizona has to focus on this game to win but don't be surprised if St. Louis wins either.

Cincinnati at Oakland - Same thing for this game, these high powered teams have to focus and play hard against these lesser teams or else.

New York Jets at New England Patriots - Poor, Poor, Poor Jets - The Patriots revenge on them after last weeks mistakes vs Colts will be brutal...

San Diego at Denver - Denver certainly has fallen in the last 3 weeks, while SD has risen top side. Will home base help Denver? without Orton don't look for it this week...

Philadelphia at Chicago - I'll be honest here, I don't like McNabb, don't know why, never met him, never talked to him, never tweeted with him but for some odd reason the man just comes across to me as a ass! So that said, I'm picking for Chicago to win and if they again can focus, focus and offense can pick it up some what they should be able to do it... Chicago 21 - Philadelphia 17

Tennessee at Houston - Houston won the match-up earlier this season between them but only by 3pts & Tenn. was not playing Young. I truly believe things will be different this time around.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Week 11 - 2009 Season - Thursday Night Game

Just a quick post for tonight's game between Miami and Carolina - Miami has lost a key player Ronnie Brown as has Carolina with Jordan Gross. Brown has meant more to Miami playing than Gross has to Carolina. Muhammad's return to Carolina has helped along with Steve Smiths picking thing up a tad and together in the last 3 weeks Jake Delhomme has had 3 TDs and 0 interceptions...

Look for a tough game but Carolina should win tonight

Rest of week picks will be posted Friday Afternoon - have a good one..

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Week 10 - 2009 NFL Season

FRIDAY 11/13/2009 RE-DO OF THIS WEEKS POSTING...

This week we start with the NFL channel broadcasting Thursday night games, so picks and fantasy teams have to be in earlier now. Also starting this week I will go into more depth analysis with each match-up...

Last week I went 9 for 13 (some what of a respectful showing) - making me 77 out of 128 games (60%). There were 6 upsets last week - which raises the weekly upset avg. from last weeks 4.50 to 4.66 upset games a week so far. 4 of the 6 teams with week 8 byes won in week 9 which brings that total to: 14 out 24 teams have won following a bye week.

TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:

Thursday Night Game:

Chicago @ San Francisco - Bears playing in away games have a poor offense & defense, as seen by their away record: 4 away games with total of 64 pts for vs 106 against. 49ers at home play on a much more even keel: 4 homes games with total of 95 PF vs 89 PA. In this match-up 49ers should come up with somewhere between 24 - 26 pts while Bears will probably only muster about 19 to 23 pts.

11/13/09 - San Francisco won last night 10 - 6 over Bears in a really un-bearable game to watch, but even though the pts. were off from what I said they would be the winning range was correct. Overall I had 49ers winning by 3 to 5 pts.

Sunday Early Games:

Atlanta @ Carolina - This match-up could be a toss up this week. Atl in travel games play pretty evenly offensively & defensively: 4 away games with total 103 PF vs 108 PA. Panthers struggle at home in 3 home games so far they have 39 PF vs 75 PA. Look for Atl to get about 25 - 26 pts while Panthers should come up with about 20 - 22, although they could because of Atls loose defense get upwards of 27 - 28 pts and pull off a win. Overall looking at Atlanta winning by 4-5 pts.

Tampa Bay @ Miami - TB pulled a big upset last week at home against GB but, that game withstanding TB still allows too many pts on the road and hasn't been able so far to match it with what they put up: In a total of 3 away games they have 47 PF vs 82 PA. Miamis defense is about the same as TBs only difference is their offense can out score what their defense allows: In 4 home games they have 126 PF vs 110 PA. This game Miami should score somewhere in the range of 28 - 30 pts vs TB which will probably only get 21 to 25 pts. Overall looking at Miami winning by 5 - 7 pts.

Detroit @ Minnesota - With me living in Michigan and although I am 100% COLTS fan, I always have a soft spot in me for the Lions. I always wish them the best and root for them (whenever their not playing the COLTS) but it's a hard team to root for week in and week out. This week is no different - I wish and hope they win but it's just not in the cards again. On the road the Lions defense lets teams score double what their offense puts up: 4 away games and they have 71 PF vs 153 PA. Minnesota at home with Favre now playing for them score pts: 3 home games so far this year with 90 PF vs 78 PA. Based on my math figuring we should see Minn. get 34 - 38 pts this game vs Detroits 21 to 26 pts. Overall looking at Minnesota winning by 12 - 13 pts.

Jacksonville @ N.Y.Jets - Jacksonville is spotty at best in away games, they can score 30 pts or they can score 0 pts. Don't me why or even how they can play like this but they do: 4 road games they have 56 PF vs 109 PA. Jets can be tough at home if their on their game: In 4 home games 78 PF vs 72 PA. Jacksonville should play tough but Jets defense will subdue them, Jacksonville about 16 - 18 pts, Jets getting 23-27 pts. Overall looking at Jets winning by 7 - 9 pts.

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh - Here's another game where either team could win this week. Cincinnati can play on the road and they usually find a way to win: 3 road games this year they stand with 71 PF vs 58 PA. Pittsburgh is tough, no question about it but, they could let down this week after last weeks Denver game and Cincinnati has beat them once this year. Pittsburgh in 4 home games has: 105 PF vs 69 PA. Average math calculations looks for Cincinnati to get 20 - 23 pts and Pittsburgh getting 22 - 26 pts. Overall looking at Pittsburgh winning by 2 - 3 pts.

New Orleans @ St. Louis - OK, lets move on to the next game....But, if by chance St. Louis does win, it would have to go down as major up-set game of the century...

Buffalo @ Tennessee - This is match-up #3 this week that I am seeing as either team winning. Both Buffalo and Tennessee are evenly matched, with the slight edge going to Buffalos defense. The odd man in the whole equation is Vince Young, so far in his two games played since being put in he has played great. Buffalo in 4 road games: 70 PF vs 85 PA - Tennessee in 3 home games has 70 PF vs 78 PA. I'm seeing Buffalo scoring 23-26 pts and Tenn. right around 22-23 pts. Overall looking at Buffalo winning by 1 - 3 pts.

Denver @ Washington - Denver after winning their first 6 games has lost 2 in a row now, so they need this game to straighten the ship. Washingtons offense is pitiful this year, no matter where they play. Denver on the road in 4 away games: 76 PF vs 63 PA. Washington in 4 home games: 48 PF vs 61 PA. Look for Denver to get between 15 to 18 pts this game while Washington ends up with 12 to 14 pts. Overall looking at Denver winning by 3 - 4 pts.

Sunday Late Games:

Kansas City @ Oakland - 2 teams that have not done what they were expecting themselves to do this year. Match-up #4 this week for me as either team having a chance to win. KC in 4 away games have: 73 PF vs 92 PA. Oakland in 4 home games has 36 PF vs 94 PA. Loosely figuring things up in my brain I see KC scoring between 20-23 pts while Oakland could possibly get anywhere from 16 to 23 pts.
Overall looking at Kansas City winning by 3 - 4 pts.

Seattle @ Arizona - 2 teams with loose defenses and Seattle playing poorly on road while Arizona this year has played poorly at home. In 3 road games Seattle has 44 PF vs 95 PA. Arizona fairs a little better in 4 home games with 75 total PF vs 106 total PA. All though this game COULD go either way, Arizona should hold on to win by getting between 24 - 31 pts and holding Seattle to 20 - 25 pts. Overall looking at Arizona winning by 4 - 6 pts.

Dallas @ Green Bay - Where the heck was Green Bay last week in Tampa Bay? Dallas started this year very shaky but since the KC game on 10/11/09 they have played solid. Green Bay seems to have lost track this year, although their record shows 4 victories, they have been against poor teams (Chicago, St.Louis, Detroit, Cleveland). Still this game is not a shoo-in for Dallas: In 4 road games Dallas has 90 total PF vs 74 PA. In 4 home games Green Bay has 97 total PF vs 84 PA. Look for Dallas getting 20-25 pts while GB rounds up about 18-22 pts. Overall looking at Dallas winning by 2 - 3 pts.

Philadelphia @ San Diego - I have said it before and I will say it again - Philadelphia plays whatever way McNabbs feels about the opposing team or QB. Only problem is you don't know how McNabb feels about a game or opposing QB until game time, so it makes it hard to pick whether they will win or not. Phil. in 3 road games has 74 PF vs 40 PA. San Diego in 4 home games has 96 PF vs 94 PA. IMO McNabb will try to show Rivers up this week so look for Phil. to score between 23 - 28 pts with Phil. defense holding SD to 13 - 18 pts. Overall looking at Philadelphia winning by 5 - 10 pts.

Sunday Night Game:

New England @ Indianapolis - OMG! but will this game hold up to all the hype for it? Although alot of media hype this week about this match-up, it really only centers around P. Manning vs T. Brady. In reality if you look, neither team has really played tough opposing teams. Colts have played very well on the road while lacking at home but still winning. New England has played a little tougher teams than Colts have but still no over-whelming ones and have lost some that they probably should have won. In 4 home games the Colts have 86 PF vs 60 PA. New Eng. in 3 road games has 61 PF vs 43 PA. All in all two evenly match teams, look for New Eng. to get 17 to 20 pts. while Peyton and crew should pull out about 18 to 23 pts. Very close game and ranks as match-up #5 as a victory could happen for either team. Overall looking at COLTS winning by 1 - 3 pts.

Monday Night Game:

Baltimore @ Cleveland - Word is out that Quinn will be starting QB for Browns but, that will only gain Cleveland some extra points not a win. Baltimore has been up and down all year but not that down that they allow Quinn to beat them. In 4 away games Baltimore has 90 PF vs 103 PA. Cleveland has totals of 43 PF vs 88 PA in 3 home games. Baltimore should put up between 23 - 29 pts with Browns showing about 14 - 20 pts. Overall looking at Baltimore winning by 3 - 9 pts.

I'm looking at just 3 up-sets this week (Buffalo, K.C., Phil.)

Have a great week!

For Randy Inman predictions go here: Week 10

Be seeing you, Knobby...

Saturday, November 7, 2009

Week 9 - 2009 Season

Getting later and later with posting my predictions here lately, sorry about that.

Lets get started first with where we stand in some of the stats:

Last week I went 7 for 13 - making me 68 out of 115 games. There were 5 upsets last week - which raises the weekly upset avg. from last weeks 4.42 to 4.5 upset games a week so far. Last week 2 of the 6 teams with week 7 byes won which brings that total to: 10 out 18 teams with previous byes win the following week...

TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:

Sunday Early Games:

Baltimore Ravens (4-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals* (5-2)

Houston Texans (5-3) @ Indianapolis Colts (7-0)

Green Bay Packers (4-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7)

Arizona Cardinals* (4-3) @ Chicago Bears (4-3)

Kansas City Chiefs (1-6) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4)

Miami Dolphins (3-4) @ New England Patriots (5-2)

Washington Redskins (2-5) @ Atlanta Falcons (4-3)

Sunday Afternoon Games:

Carolina Panthers (3-4) @ New Orleans (7-0)

Detroit Lions (1-6) @ Seattle Seahawks (2-5)

Tennessee Titans* (1-6) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-4)

San Diego Chargers (4-3) @ New York Giants (5-3)

Sunday Night Football Game:

Dallas Cowboys (5-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-2) And for my weekly Pick-the-Pros pickers - Philadelphia 27 - Dallas 19

Monday Night Football Game:

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) @ Denver Broncos* (6-1)

I'm predicting 4 upsets this week - indicted by *

Hope you have a nice weekend & I'll be seeing you.

Knobby

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Week 8 - 2009 Season

Good Day to you all, late on getting this up this week had a light touch of flu this week, just enough to make you sit there with enough energy to act like a zombie and just go through the motions.

Last week I went 9 for 13 - making me 61 out of 102 games. Why I picked Cleveland over GB last week will be a mystery for the ages.

There was 3 upsets last week - which brings the weekly upset avg. to 4.42 upset games a week so far.

Last week 2 of the 4 teams with week 6 byes won which brings that total to: 8 out 12 teams with previous byes win the following week...

TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN:

Denver at Baltimore - Denver is rising while Baltimore is wondering

Houston at Buffalo - Houston can play or they can watch, Buffalo can play or they can watch

Cleveland at Chicago - As the song from the Drew Cary show use to say 'Cleveland Rocks' yeah right, not this year...

Seattle at Dallas - Seattle is just a poor travel team, always has been

St Louis at Detroit - Could be the surprise game of week, hopefully Detroit finds a way to win and not the opposite

San Francisco at Indianapolis - Come on it's the COLTS

Miami at New York Jets - More than likely Miami will again razzle dazzle the Jets

New York Giants at Philadelphia - Hopefully Giants find themselves this week against a team whose win record has been built against poor teams. (Giants 28 - Eagles 24)

Jacksonville at Tennessee - In my book Fisher doesn't care anymore but he will post a win this week

Oakland at San Diego - Unless a another Philadelphia miracle happens SD should pull it out

Carolina at Arizona - Carolina will play tough but Arizona has the tools to overcome

Minnesota at Green Bay - If you look at their game list you'll see that both teams have not played any good teams with the exception last week of the Minn/Pitts. which Minn. lost.

Atlanta at New Orleans - WOW! what a come from behind victory last week for NO. Should continue winning ways this week also but hey, ANY GIVEN SUNDAY!

Looking at my picks I have 5 upsets this week so we will see...

For more week 8 picks go & look at this fine site: Randy Inman


Be seeing you, Knobby...

Saturday, October 24, 2009

Week 7 - 2009 Season

Well stinky poo and all of that smelly stuff - I went 6 for 14 last week, jeez I could have done better if I would have just thrown darts at the game list... With last weeks total I now stand at 52 right out of 89 games for about 58% picking avg.

We also had 5 upsets last week, which is where the key lies. The trouble being trying to pick week after week which teams will be upsetting who?

Also last week 2 of the 4 teams with week 5 byes won which brings that total to: 6 out 8 teams with previous byes win the following week...

Teams in RED are my picks to win this week...

Green Bay @ Cleveland

San Francisco @ Houston

Chicago @ Cincinnati

San Diego @ Kansas City

Minnesota @ Pittsburgh

COLTS @ St. Louis

New Eng. vs Tampa Bay in London

Buffalo @ Carolina

N Y Jets @ Oakland

Atlanta @ Dallas

New Orleans @ Miami

Arizona @ N Y Giants - Sunday Night (Giants 33 - Arizona 29)

Philadelphia @ Washington - Monday Night

My upsets winners for this week are San Francisco, Cleveland & Dallas

Be seeing you, Knobby

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Week 6 - 2009 Season

Two weeks in a row now I have run 50% on picks which gives me a total for season so far 46 out 75 about 60% avg. Fair at best, but its been fun!

Lets see if I can do better this week - - -


Teams in RED are my picks to win:

First off let me say I'm going to try a experiment here with my picks. Like I stated in Tuesdays Tid-Bit post all the teams that had a week 4 bye won in week 5 no matter whether they were at home or away so that being the case, my first 4 picks to win this week are those who had last week off:

Detroit @ Green Bay

N Y Giants @ New Orleans

Chicago* @ Atlanta - Sunday Nite (Chi. 23 - Atl. 21)

Denver @ San Diego* - Monday Nite

Rest of my picks for week:

Houston @ Cincinnati

St. Louis @ Jacksonville

Baltimore @ Minnesota

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh

Carolina @ Tampa Bay*

K. C. @ Washington

Phil. @ Oakland

Arizona @ Seattle

Tenn. @ N. Eng.

Buffalo @ N. Y. Jets

So there you have it and as you see I'm predicting 3 upsets * this week

For more picks check Randys page out for this weeks picks and articles -Randy Inman

Have a good weekend and see you back here Tuesday, Knobby

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Tuesday NFL Tid-Bits

Thought I would try something new here and do a post on Tuesdays with little Tid-Bits of information that I come across on the wires.

First off let me say that again I went 7 out of 14 this week in picks - but being more of a risk taker on picks than the avg person I am bound to be low some weeks when the magic football ring is not in my possession.


Tid-Bit #1 - All the teams that had a bye in week 4 won in week 5 no matter whether they played at home or away.

Tid-Bit #2 - After 5 weeks of play we've had 44 home wins, 32 away wins, 52 high % wins & 23 low % wins.

Tid-Bit # 3 - Rumors are running wild as to Terrell Owens could get traded to the Bears or anybody for a Mid-round draft pick & Tony Dungy could go back to the Bucs.

Tid-Bit #4 - NFL has changed start time of MIN-GB game on 11/1/09 to 4:15pm ET.

Tid-Bit #5 - Cleveland Browns Could Trade Brady Quinn

Tid-Bit #6 - Pontiac opens bidding for Silverdome

Tid-Bit #7 - Want you to check this guys page out and his picks and articles -
Randy Inman

Tid-Bit #8 - What to get that Mighty Warrior for Christmas this year - Battle Underwear

Have a nice week and I will see ya Thursday night with my NFL picks for week 6 - Knobby

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Week 5 - 2009 Season

OUCH! OUCH! OUCH!

Shooting for the stars last week and didn't even reach the moon - OUCH!

Ended up with 7 correct out of 14 games giving me a total on the season of 39 out of 61 games...

Upsets: Week 1 - we had 3 upsets, Week 2 - we had 8 upsets, Week 3 - we had 3 upsets. Last week I predicted 5 upset games and there was 3. This week I am predicting 3 upset games

So moving on to this weeks picks;

TEAMS IN RED ARE MY PICKS TO WIN


Cincinnati @ Baltimore - Ravens SHOULD handle this one

Cleveland @ Buffalo - Cleveland has no defense, Buffalo although hurting should pull it out.

Washington @ Carolina - 2 poor teams but when all said and done Washington will walked away with victory.

Pittsburgh @ Detroit - HAHAHAHAHAHA Detroit will battle like the devil 1st half and then implode amongst themselves in 2nd...

Dallas @ K C - Dallas score wise has been working backwards from game 1, KC has been even steven but still no cigar. PS: If by chance Dallas loses look to the south and watch the bright red rocket shooting towards the sky with Coach Phillips on it...

Oakland @ N Y G - With or without Eli, Oakland is poor competition for Giants

T B @ Phildelphia - McNabb and Westbrook should be back and TB lost to Washington, nothing else to say...

Minnesota @ St.Louis - The Farve circus will make the Arch look like a side show in a carnival...

Atlanta @ S Fran. - This will be a GOOD game, look for close score but Singletarys men will be best.

Houston @ Arizona - Both teams have problems and as much as I like Warner, I'm afraid Houston will out score him and his playmates.

N. Eng. @ Denver - Is there snow in Denver? This game will prove whether Denver is real or not. Last week it looked like Dallas did themselves in more then Denver beat them.

Jacksonville @ Seattle - Jacksonville is improving each week, Seattle even with players coming back they are not healthy.

Sunday night game: COLTS @ Tenn. What did I say last week? (COLTS 27 - Tenn. 17)

Monday night game: N Y Jets @ Miami - 2nd week on road for Jets and Miami looked hot last week at home.

Friday, October 2, 2009

Week 4 - 2009 Season

First off let me state this: NEVER EVER GO AGAINST YOUR MOST FAVORITE TEAM NO MATTER WHO TELLS YOU WHAT! NEVER EVER! Ok got that out of the way...

I was 10 for 16 last week which puts me 32 right out of 47 games but that's what you get when you pick the wrong upset teams each week and you just know there are going to be upsets every week. Week 1 - we had 3 upsets, Week 2 - we had 8 upsets and last week we had 3 upsets. This week I am predicting 5 upset games.

Teams in RED are my picks to win this week

First the no-brainer picks:

Cincinnati @ Cleveland

Oakland @ Houston

Seattle @ COLTS

NY Giants @ Kansas City

St Louis @ San Francisco

Second, lets go with very well could happen picks:

Baltimore @ New England - Balt. still a good defense and now they have added a offense. NE has not been protecting Brady well enough.

And Sunday nights game - San Diego @ Pittsburgh - Pitts. is down in the dumps this year and SD has been scoring well. For my pick the pro players: (SD 24 - Pittsburgh 20)

Lastly the will they or won't they picks:

Detroit @ Chicago - Going with Detroit b/c their flying high right now and stats are showing their putting more pts. on board then Chicago

Tennessee @ Jacksonville - Jacksonville played real well last week, their at home and Tenn. is not a good playing away team.

Tampa Bay @ Washington - Does DC have a team or are they just politicians dress in football gear?

Buffalo @ Miami - This is going to be a tough as nails game for anyone to predict. Close as butter on bread but I favor Buffalo by ever so slim of pts.

N Y Jets @ New Orleans - Jets are good for some reason this year and they will put on a good tough show but I'm looking at Mr. Brees to win out in the end.

Dallas @ Denver - Good defense for Denver but Dallas has more tools

And Monday Night Game - Green Bay @ Minnesota - Will Bretts luck hold out longer or will GBs defense come to life? I'm betting on GBs defense coming alive...

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Week 3 - 2009 Season UPDATE!

7pm EDT - I'm not doing to bad as long as my 4pm games hold up , but I have decided that my Sunday night pick will Arizona 27 - COLTS 23. I just don't believe the colts defense has enough oompf in them to last 4 quarters against Warner, coming off the tough and long Miami game and then short week and fly out west

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Week 3 - 2009 Season

I went 11 out of 16 last week giving me a season total of 22 out of 31

Lots of upsets last week and I am predicting possibly 4 or 5 this week
Teams in red are my picks to win


Cleveland @ Baltimore

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Washington @ Detroit

Jacksonville @ Houston

San Francisco @ Minnesota

Atlanta @ New England

KC @ Philadelphia

GB @ St Louis

NYG @ Tampa Bay

New Orleans @ Buffalo

Chicago @ Seattle

Tennessee @ NY Jets

Denver @ Oakland

Miami @ San Diego

COLTS @ Arizona - I am undecided at this moment as to who will win, my heart and soul go for COLTS but stats I'm afraid might prove otherwise...

Monday Night Game: Carolina @ Dallas

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Week 2 - 2009 Season

Last week I was 11 out 15 on picks. I say 15 because I wasn't around to chose last Thursday night game...

This weeks picks are:

Atlanta over Carolina

Minnesota over Detroit

Green Bay over Cincinnati

Arizona over Jacksonville

Kansas City over Oakland

N Y Jets over N. England

New Orleans over Phildelphia

Tennessee over Houston

Washington over St. Louis

Buffalo over Tampa Bay

San Francisco over Seatlle

Pittsburg over Chicago

Cleveland over Denver

Baltimore over San Diego

COLTS over Miami

N. Y. Giants 24 over Dallas 19

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Week 1 - 2009 Season

Games are always hard to pick in the first 2 to 3 weeks, because off season stats and pre season stats are ALWAYS so iffy. That's why I don't really blog much or pay to much attention during them times - I like & enjoy the main circus event (regular season football) and not wandering around the parking lot (draft/pre-season) (Last season I had 168 picks right)

Miami at Atlanta – Atl win

Kansas City at Baltimore – Balt win

Philadelphia at Carolina – Phil win

Denver at Cincinnati – Cinn win

Minnesota at Cleveland – Minn win

Dallas at Tampa Bay – Dallas win

Detroit at New Orleans – N.O. win

Jacksonville at Indianapolis – COLTS win, did you think I would pick differently LOL

New York Jets at Houston – Houston win

San Francisco at Arizona – Ariz win

Washington at New York Giants – NYG win

St Louis at Seattle – Seattle win

Buffalo at New England – N. E. win

San Diego at Oakland – S.D. win

Chicago at Green Bay - Chicago win 27 - 24

Thursday, July 2, 2009

Coming this Fall

Coming this fall - Videos of me giving predictions! I'm excited and hope it works out as I have planned..


see ya, Knobby

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Colts Coaching Changes?

News out this morning is the Colts are in for another shake-up in their coaching staff. Offensive line coach Howard Mudd has informed the Colts he is planning to retire immediately because of the pension-plan changes, according to team and league sources. Mr Mudd has been with the Colts for 12 years, and is 67 years old. The reason for his possible stepping down is because of the changes made by the owners this past March concerning the pension program for non-players.

Payton Manning has been there 11 years and has known no other NFL offensive line except that one under Moore/Mudd team. Tom Moore, 70 also has been the Colts offensive coordinator for 12 years also. Moore was able to reached for any comments, as to his plans of either staying or retiring .

If all this takes place and with Colts under a new coach already, it should be interesting to see how if any this will effect the high-firing Colts offense.

Sunday, May 3, 2009

Let the arrests begin!

NFL team mini -camps are here and active and apparently so are the idiots of the NFL who play the game. According to the report it seems like 2 of New Orleans Saints up-standing players? were arrested and jailed for exposing themselves and making lewd comments to 2 women.

Sure does makes me want to rush right out and buy their jerseys and get their autographs and maybe have my kids imitate them...

Other then that, I just don't get these players any more. Seems like the whole world has lost common sense and decency...

Click here for story...

WFA - IWFL Saturday Game Scores

Sat., May 2nd Game Scores:


WFA

Indiana Speed 60 @ Toledo Reign 0

Gulf Coast Riptide 66 @ Emerald Coast Barracudas 8


West Michigan Mayhem 56 @ Dayton Diamonds 0

Kansas City Storm 0 @ Iowa Thunder 74

Missouri Phoenix 0 @ Minnesota Machine 58

HTown Texas Cyclones 12 @ Lone Star Mustangs 20


IWFL


Shreveport Aftershock 0 @ Chattanooga Locomotion 62

Oakland Banshees 0 @ Portland Shockwave 2

Montreal Blitz 48 @ Holyoke Hurricanes 0

Connecticut Crushers 0 @ Boston Militia 47

Detroit Demolition 13 @ Baltimore NightHawks 0

Dallas Diamonds 32 @ Atlanta Xplosion 7

Clarksville Fox 14 @ Iowa Crush 0

Manchester Freedom 0 @ New England Intensity 13

Miami Fury 21 @ Houston Energy 0

Jersey Justice 40 @ Southern Maine Rebels 14

Modesto Maniax 0 @ Southern California Breakers 55

Orlando Mayhem 15 @ Carolina Phoenix 42

Tucson Monsoon 54 @ New Mexico Menace 0

Pittsburgh Passion 7 @ D. C. Divas 27

Corvallis Pride 0 @ Sacramento Sirens 39

Palm Beach Punishers 14 @ Carolina Queens 26

California Quake 21 @ Los Angeles Amazons 36

New York Sharks 33 @ Philadelphia Firebirds 14

Kansas City Tribe 6 @ Chicago Force 28

Central PA Vipers 8 @ Erie Illusion 61

Wisconsin Warriors 54 @ Minnesota Vixen 16

Tennessee Valley Tigers 32 @ Louisiana Fuel 27




The Brett Favre Circus

As Bob Dylan sang in his song Desolation Row: ¶ They're selling postcards of the hanging, They're painting the passports brown,The beauty parlor is filled with sailors, The circus is in town

Got your popcorn, your cotton candy? Do you have a front row seat waiting in anticipation for the main clown to appear hoping to catch a balloon from him?

Yes, here he comes now, Mr. Brett Favre himself!

At the moment he is retired, or he did retired back in February, saying: "he is retired and that his career is over." I think or he thinks or we think, maybe nobody thinks. The Jets than said that they are taking Favre at his word that he is retired but, didn't release him thinking he might change his mind. Gee, I wonder where they got that idea from?

Then this past March, 5th we had the Packers saying they "still intend to offer legendary quarterback Brett Favre a marketing agreement, but want to wait until both sides can move beyond any hurt feelings." They then went on to say a week later that, "The Green Bay Packers will retire Brett Favre's No. 4 jersey at some point, and team president and CEO Mark Murphy envisions a day when Favre is once again part of the family." BUT, "probably won't happen this year. "

Then last week after trading up to get Mark Sanchez, the Jets let Favre go, with him saying: "At this time, I am retired and have no intention of returning to football." OK, we've been here before.

Now for the main ring feature.

After this the rumors started flying about how he said he "can't peacefully retire until he finds a way to get revenge on the Packers" & how he can't stand Green Bay, and that he wants to play Green Bay and say, 'I told you so.' On & on it go's... until we now have either him or Minnesota calling each other and talking or so they say or so we hear.

I will acknowledge that he played better last year with the Jets, than what I had expected, but he did tire and faltered at the end.

Brett Favre is angry at something. I think he's angry at himself and he's blaming Green Bay. He's angry at himself for being almost 40 years old and thinking he's still 20. He's angry that he hasn't had the chance for more Superbowl victories. He's just angry and bitter.

No one at the moment knows what will happen between now and August with Mr Favre. In my opinion he should make amends with Green Bay, drop his bitterness, live with the fact he's 40 years old and retire with the superstar status he still has, and not as a old clown or even worse with a life threatening injury.

But I don't see that happening, not this year.

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Amish Cornerball anyone?


Seems like the Amish down Lancaster County way play a rough game called 'Cornerball' aka 'Eck balle'
City folks dodge ball on hay! Will ESPN or WWEs Vince McMahon pick up on this someday??



Thanks to Erik from the Amish America web site for the links and Rick Harrison for the photo...

WFA - KICKOFF FOR THE CURE!



This Saturday, May 2nd at 4pm the Iowa Thunder have partnered with the Susan G. Komen Foundation, for the 1st Annual Susan G. Komen Kickoff for the Cure, in an effort to fight the deadly disease of Breast Cancer. The event will be followed by the Iowa Thunder's game against divisional rival the Kansas City Storm at 7:05pm where the Thunder look to become the first ever women's football team in Iowa to start a season 3-0.

For Thunder starting Wide Receiver Ashley Sumner,

this day and this event is a bitter sweet reminder. When Ashley was very young she lost her mother to a long battle with breast cancer. In addition to losing her mother, Ashley has also lost her Grandmother to breast cancer and this past year her father was diagnosed with cancer.


For those in Iowa go support this cause and enjoy some Spring Womens Football...
Thanks to WFA for pictures and links...

Draft time

NFL draft is not really anything I get into. All over the sports TV shows and radio shows there's special hours dedicated to the draft and on the Internet sites there is all this analysis and opinion, but I just don't see the reason for it.

These are young college players some who have had good college playing records and will for whatever reason might not play in the NFL for 2+ years due to adjusting to a higher level, or they don't want to play with this team but that team, maybe training the coaches might want to put them through or because them seek more money, etc.

So I don't follow the draft much, players come and go now days and it's really hard to say what a team will be like or do until the season starts and even then it still takes some a few more weeks to get their act together.

So just wanted to explained to anyone who comes here why you see little about the draft here...

Besides it's almost summer! Tiger is back and JD looks like he's trying to get his act together again over on the European Tour, I do wish him well and hope to see him back in the states maybe later this year...

Lance is cruising again and Mr. Manning looks like he had fun the other day at the Quail Hollow Pro-am. Jack LaLanne is still kicking at like 93 or something, and Dr Weil will be heading to his house on Cortes Island in BC, Canada soon, so go enjoy yourselfs and quit worrying about whether some 22 year old is going to sign for 45 million or just 38 million, Enjoy!

Thursday, April 30, 2009

WPFL videos

I was sent these clips by one of my readers and I thought I would share them with you all:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7gW4-3DRBuE&feature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JmBxuZM7zRQ&feature=related

I also promised WAYYYY back in September I was going to a few pieces on Womans Pro Football, so now that tax season is over for a spell - I will be doing that within the week or so...

Amish NFL draft expert!

¶ Are you READY for some FOOTBALL????
A Monday night party??
The whole house is rockin’, let’s get it kick started
Launch this thing, raise the roof, that’s right
All my rowdy friends are here on Monday night!!!!

Ok settle down now,

It's seems there is an Amish fella down in Ohio by the name of Eli Yoder who by this 3 part story must be a football expert. I'm going have to see if I can get him to make some predictions for my football blog this Fall/Winter
Part 1 - http://myespn.go.com/blogs/afceast/0-7-117/AFC-East-chat-a-no-go-on-Amish-turf.html
Part 2 - http://myespn.go.com/blogs/afceast/0-7-123/Amish-draft-expert-offers-fearless-predictions.html
Part 3 - http://myespn.go.com/blogs/afceast/0-7-172/Amish-draft-expert-nails-pre-draft-predictions.html

Monday, February 2, 2009

Well That's it Folks

The 2008 professional football season is over - Congrats to the Steelers and their fans. It was a nail biter for some folks. Some fans have died and others will wilt away as the heat of summer glows on them... For me it was so-so, My Colts didn't make it pass round 1 in the play-offs again...Although Tony was a good coach during regular season, his playoff coaching seems to lack, he was a firm believer in resting players at end of season before playoffs and that I think always hurt them... Well on to August/September 2009...

During the spring and summer I will be following the Women's pro football and as promised several months ago I will be writing some posts concerning the NFL lack of interest or desire to help this league, so we'll see what brew we can stir up here...

Tom

Saturday, January 31, 2009

2008 SUPERBOWL

Well I know I have been lacking in my analysis here recently, and I'm sorry for that - but I have one follower who e-mails me and get me back on my toes....don't you Karin????

Anyways - on to to the game of the year - rough and tumble Pittsburgh Steelers vs pass happy Arizona Cardinals???? who da thunk it back in September....

First, let me say that I consider this game a road game for both teams, but I'm sure the Steelers will have more fans there than Arizona will.

Road Records: Pittsburgh 6-2 on road - Arizona 4-5 on road. Record on Grass: Pittsburgh 11-4 Arizona 10-5

Last meeting: Sept. 30, 2007, at Arizona. Arizona (+6) won 21-14.

Total Stats for the season;

PITTSBURGH: OFFENSE
290 1st downs, 93 by rushing & 179 by passing & 18 by penalties.

105 avg rushing yds. per game.

206 avg. passing yds. per game.

Big Ben had a 59.9 % completion rating, was sacked 49 times and lost 306 yds & was intercepted 15 times.

Punted 78 times & 41 were returned with a avg. return of 6 yds. & no TDs

DEFENSE,

Allowed 240 1st downs, 73 by rushing & 149 by passing & 18 by penalty

Gave up a avg. of 237 yds. per game - 80 by rushing & 157 passing

Had 51 sacks that totaled 350 lost yds. had 20 interceptions - 2 were returned for TDs


ARIZONA: OFFENSE
328 1st downs, 72 by rushing & 231 by passing & 25 by penalties

74 avg. rushing yds. per game.

292 avg. passing yds. per game.

Mr. Warner had a 66.3 % completion rating, was sacked 28 times and lost 201 yds. & was intercepted 15 times.

Punted 60 times & 33 were returned with a avg. return of 7.2 yds. & no TDs.

DEFENSE,

Allowed 312 1st downs, 117 by rushing & 172 by passing & 23 by penalty

Gave up a avg. of 331 yds. per game - 110 by rushing & 221 by passing

Had 31 sacks that totaled 191 lost yds. had 13 interceptions - 2 were returned for TDs


RANKINGS:

Pittsburgh

total yds/game 22
rushing yds/game 23
passing yds/game 17

opp. yards/game 1
opp. rushing yds/game 2
opp. passing yds/game 1

Arizona

total yds/game 4
rushing yds/game 32
passing yds/game 2

opp. yards/game 19
opp.rushing yds/game 16
opp. passing yds/game 22

Arizona has stepped up and played damn good football during these play-offs, much better then the regular season - could they actually be better than their regular season stats show????

The Steelers are favored for good reason; they are the better team, at least stats show defensively. The Cardinals can score quickly and the Steelers are not a good come from behind team. Question is can this 2008 play-off Cardinal team get into the Steelers Defense? Can Steelers actually get to and cover Fitzgerald?

Warner if given time can throw balls through hula-hoops at 80 yds. Under pressure and out of pocket and he has trouble hitting the side of a barn. Big Ben just stands there and takes it, good or bad results.

Fitzgerald should be the number one guy for Warner, but don't be surprise if the Cardinals change go to guys to shake up Steelers defense.

Ward is playable but seems to be doubtful at the same time. If Pittsburgh can dictate the tempo of the game, they should win easily. On the other hand if the Cardinals can strike early they will not be in forced passing situations and can take some of the pressure off of the quarterback.

This game has a lot of IFs & ANDs to it - a great defense -vs- a explosive offense - a tried & true superbowl team -vs- a never even been there team...

MY PICK - ARIZONA 26 - Pittsburgh 24

Friday, January 9, 2009

2008 - Week 19 - Divisional Championships

Did you know that there are stats out there if one were to look hard enough that tells you what shoes each player wears during what games and where? Amazing how big and involved this game of football has become in our country....

Well, anyways after last weeks total pick melt-down for me, I'm back, but this week I'm going simple, sometimes you look at enough stats and you lose sense of what your objective is -which for me is to have a little fun and hopefully pass along some useful information to others..
So let's begin;

Baltimore @ Tennessee

On road games the Ravens get a avg. of 188 passing yds. & 148 rushing yds. They allow on avg. their opponents to pass for 200 yds. & rush for 111 yds. Oh, that's good defense there...

Tennessee in home games avg. 190 passing yds. & rushing for a avg. of 129 yds. They allow on avg. their opponents to avg. 209 passing yds. & 109 rushing. Wee doggies, that's better than them Ravens ...

So what we have here, is a failure to communicate... No, wait that's from Cool Hand Luke movie. What we do have here though, is 2 tight rushing defenses combined with medium offences...

Ravens are more of a big play defense who can generate turnovers. This is a game likely to be decided by turnovers and Baltimore is somewhat more likely to generate some. Each team is going to have to force the other team into doing something they don't want to do...

Expect to see Baltimore get around 195 to 200 passing yds combined with 127 to 133 rushing. Tennessee should come in a little under that with 193 to 198 passing yds. and 118 to 122 rushing yds.

BAL 18th OFF; TEN 7th DEF
BAL 4th RUN; TEN 6th VS. RUN
BAL 28th PASS; TEN 9th VS. PASS
BAL 11th PTS; TEN 2nd PTS ALLOWED

TEN 21st OFF; BAL 2nd DEF
TEN 7th RUN; BAL 3rd VS. RUN
TEN 27th PASS; BAL 2nd VS. PASS
TEN 14th PTS; BAL 3rd PTS ALLOWED

Expect another close one...MY PICK - BALTIMORE 17 - 16 Tennessee

Arizona @ Carolina

Road games for Warner and crew seem to lack something compare to their home games. On avg. for road games Arizona gets 283 passing yds. & 80 rushing yds - that's like sitting on the bench and watching the parade. They allow the opponents 201 avg. passing yds & 122 avg. rushing yds.
Car-o-lina at home gets on avg. 197 passing yds. and 174 avg. rushing yds. - somebody please, take the battery out of their backs... With all that running about, their opponents gather 227 avg. passing yds. & 117 avg. rushing yds. - not to far from Baltimore defensive stat.

Mr Kurt will be carrying the team as I see Arizona rushing not getting alot. Cardinal defense played well in shutting down the run last week, they will not have as easy a job trying to keep Williams and Stewart contained.

Expect to see Arizona get 252 to 258 passing yds. & 95 to 100 rushing yds. Carolina should be getting about 197 to 203 passing yds. & 147 to 153 rushing yds.

AZ 4th OFF; CAR 18th DEF
AZ 32nd RUN; CAR 20th VS. RUN
AZ 2nd PASS; CAR 16th VS. PASS
AZ 3rd PTS; CAR 12th PTS ALLOWED

CAR 10th OFF; AZ 19th DEF
CAR 3rd RUN; AZ 16th VS. RUN
CAR 19th PASS; AZ 22nd VS. PASS
CAR 7th PTS; AZ 28th PTS ALLOWED

Carolina @ home has played damn good football compared to their road games. They'll be telling Kurt and crew - (in my best Clint Eastwood voice) Get off MY LAWN!... MY PICK - CAROLINA 34 - 22 Arizona

Philadelphia @ New York Giants

The Philadelphia McNabbs for road games seems to have sprung alive here since Mr. Mood was sent to the corner during the Baltimore game earlier.

With road games Philadelphia gets an avg. of 250 passing yds. & 87 rushing yds. They must be learning knitting at the same time they're running... They allow opponents to pass for an avg. of 198 yds & rush for 119 yds.

Giants at home earn 183 avg. passing yds. & 179 avg. rushing yds. I bet ya' they smell donuts in the clubhouse to run that much... Their worthy opponents this year have been allowed to pass for a avg. of 203 yds. & 114 avg. rushing yds. Always losing out on the donuts.......

Expect to see Philadelphia get in the range of 223 to 229 passing yds. & 97 to 103 rushing yds. N.Y.Giants should get about 187 to 193 passing yds. & 146 to 152 rushing yds.


PHI 9TH OFF; NYG 5th DEF
PHI 22ND RUN; NYG 9th VS. RUN
PHI 6TH PASS; NYG 8th VS. PASS
PHI 6TH PTS; NYG 5th PTS ALLOWED

NYG 7th OFF; PHI 3RD DEF;
NYG 1st RUN; PHI 4TH VS. RUN
NYG 18th PASS; PHI 3RD VS. PASS
NYG t-3rd PTS; PHI 4TH PTS ALLOWED

I'm seeing 3 of them, Mick - than hit the middle one, Rock. Which is what one of these teams have to do if they want to hear the final bell. The Eagle team that will show up this week, can beat just about anyone as long as they are consistent. The Giants, hope they haven't lost any momentum, they are all healthy and Jacobs I hear is biting at the bit to get going...MY PICK - NYG 24 - 21 Philadelphia

San Diego @ Pittsburgh

To be or not to be, that is the question. Whether it is nobler in the minds of men to throw the football or stand and get hit like a punching bag. Which, Roethlisberger does by holding on to the ball too long.

San Diego on their road games avg. 245 passing yds. & 86 avg. rushing yds. What is it with these teams, all their RBs knitting sweaters out there? Their opponents are allowed to get 221 passing yds. & 116 rushing yds.

Pittsburgh while playing at home pass for 201 avg. yds. & rush for 109 avg. yds. See they knit in the clubhouse not on the field. The teams they play at home are getting 199 avg. passing yds. & 118 avg. rushing yds.

We could see SD get 219 to 225 passing yds. & 99 to 105 rushing. Pittsburgh wiil end up with 208 to 214 passing yds. & 109 to 115 rushing yds.

SIDELINE: Pittsburgh's 4 losses came against pass oriented teams

SD 11TH OFF; PIT 1ST DEF
SD 20TH RUN; PIT 2ND VS. RUN
SD 7TH PASS; PIT 1ST VS. PASS
SD 2ND PTS; PIT 1ST PTS ALLOWED

PIT 22ND OFF; SD 25TH DEF
PIT 23RD RUN; SD 11TH VS. RUN
PIT 17TH PASS; SD 31ST VS. PASS
PIT 20TH PTS; SD 15TH PTS ALLOWED

FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT, WIN, WIN, WIN... Both defenses are going to have to be like on Claritin and see everything clearly. More than likely Chargers RB LaDainian Tomlinson will not play or very limited. That super charged rabbitt named Sproles could cause trouble, but with him playing more he could lose that energy as the game gos on. Pittsburgh will pressure Rivers into mistakes, more than likely and will have to protect Big Ben from to many hits, so look for alot of shotgun hikes...MY PICK - SAN DIEGO 16 - 12 Pittsburgh


Superbowl is close...

Sunday, January 4, 2009

Well - How about them Cubs?

You know that age old saying ,that people say when they want to diffuse a situation or change the subject...Fits here...............

After hours of research and number crunching and constant e-mails from football fans, what do you end what with? It all comes down to 50% stats & 25% guessing & 25% gut feeling...

Actually probably more gut then anything else, while I was writing and analysing all the stats for this weekends game, inside my gut was telling me they're going to be upsets, there always is...

I thought the Colts could/would do it, but my gut feeling on the Atl/Ariz game was that Arizona was going to pull a rabbit out of the hat and then make the elephant disappear...Yes they did...

How the up-sets happen? let's look for a minute and see:

Atl @ Ariz: My earlier prediction - - Key points to watch for: To win Atlanta QB Matt Ryan needs to throw at maxium only 1 interception. Atlantas RBs Michael Turner and Jerious Norwood need to combine for 100+ yds. Should handle the job with a offense that has a 32 total ranking.

For Arizona to win their defense needs to pressure Ryan into mistakes/interceptions and keep Turner/Norwood from rushing 100 yds. Of course with a defense total ranking of 85, might make for a long day...

Well Mr Ryan, threw 2 interceptions and all other game stats showed that when he throws more than 1, Atlanta has loss. He also was sacked 3 times. Turner & Norwood had 54 yards combined, not the 100+ they needed to win. Side stats this year also, has been that when Atlanta does not score first, they have lost, Arizona scored first... Arizona did what they needed to do to win, pressured Ryan into mistakes/interceptions and kept the Turner/Norwood team from 100 yards...

Colts @ S.D. : My earlier prediction - - Key points to watch for: To win Indy must find a way to keep SD RB Tomlinson from the ball (-20 carries) or keeping him at minimum yardage. (-40), while at the same time picking up Sproles. Also, 2 to 3 sacks on Rivers will help immensely. Very doable if their total 48th ranking defense comes to play.

For San Diego to win, they have to hope by chance that P.Manning of early season shows up. If not that than defense needs to sack him 3+ times and force 2+ TOs, also keep in check Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes from racking up yds, while containing Reggie Wayne from getting in the open so much. Hard to do when your defense has a total ranking of 82...

First off, Indy really could have done better at keeping Tomlinson from the ball, he was hurt and only played the 1st half, and even at that he had 25 yards and 1 TD. The other thing was SPROLES! the man is like the Duracell energizing rabbit - 105 yards & 2 TDs - well they didn't pick him up, like they needed to. Indy did get the sacks, 4 of them but could not capitalize on any of them... Oh! and then there's Dungy, racing down field to call a time out when Indy was leading and with 30+ seconds left to play - what was that about?? Colt penalties on SD final drive in OT, did not help them either...

San Diego, had to deal with a very good Peyton Manning - 310 yards & 1 TD, and they only got to sack him once but, that sack came at the most critical time of the game, in OT and throwing him for a 8 yds lost back on Indys 1 yard line. Indy had no turnovers, SD did keep Addai & Rhodes from having any break out runs - they only had 56 combine yds & 1 TD. Reggie Wayne though had his way with SD defense - 129 yds. receiving and was helped by A. Gonzalez who had 97 yds. receiving. So this game did actually come down to a 50/50 toss-up and SD came out with the better half of the 50/50....

So where do you go from here on today's games? Last night we had 2 under-dog home teams win, will that happen today? or will we have the opposite and 2 favored away teams win or maybe 1 of each. I don't know...

Right now @ 9am Sunday morning, my gut tells me it's time for breakfast and that I don't think the up-sets are done yet. Which team will pull them off, it's hard to say. The stats are in the article below, and I'm sticking with my picks, because there is a 50/50 percent chance that I'll be right and that's all anybody can ask for out of life - a 50/50 percent chance to be right........

See you later this week........