2008 - Week 15 - Sunday games

ALL MY PICKS ARE SUBJECT TO LATE MINUTE CHANGES. PLEASE CHECK BACK OFTEN SO NOT TO MISS UP-DATED PICK CHOICES. THANK YOU...


NEW FEATURE ADDED: To check injury report from NFL, just click on the bold game titles above each analysis...Thank You...

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

Another short road trip for TB crew, but it doesn't seem to matter, they lose away, no matter the distance.. KS-IS (knobby self-inflicted stats) are:

Last 3 road games avg. for TB is 30.3 pts for & 28.3 against, turnover avg on road is 2.0 with penalties at 6 -46yds...

Last 3 home game avg. for Carolina is 34.6 pts. for & 24 pts against, turnover avg @ home is 0.7 with penalties at 4 -37yds.....

Atlanta is 5 - 1 @ home and 8-1 when they score first. This is another game where both teams need a win to hold on to whatever little chance they have for playoffs...MY PICK - ATLANTA

Tennessee @ Houston

First 2 - 1/2 or 3 quarters will be a reg game, than IMO Tenn. will start dropping their starters and Houston playing for pride, depending on how far behind they are, will make a run to win the game...MY PICK - TENNESSEE

Green Bay @ Jacksonville

Another game where both teams are really out of playoffs unless all of a sudden the other 30 teams all die.....But they should be playing at least for pride between these 2 and which one will have more pride?

Jacksonville is 1 - 5 @ home --- Green Bay is 2 - 4 on road

KS-IS for game are:

Last 3 road game avg. for GB is 24 pts. for & 32.6 pts. against, turnover avg. on road is 1.8 with penalties at 6 -54 yds.

Last 3 homes game avg. for Jac. is 14.3 pts. for & 25.6 pts. against, turnover avg. @ home is 1.5 with penalties at 6 -55 yds.

So where's the difference between these two, since above stats reflect very poorly for both...
Coaches! Jack Del Rio IMO has lost his players and locker room in the last mth. or so. Mike McCarthy on the other hand was thoroughly disgusted with losing last week and I see him getting his team up and playing for something...MY PICK - GREEN BAY


San Francisco @ Miami

Something has happened to SF in just the last 3/4 games, they are on a terror streak. This week they bring their terror train to Miami who is in a three-way tie atop the AFC East with the Jets and Patriots.

KS-IS for game is:

Last 3 road game avg. for SF is 18.3 pts. for & 22.3 pts. against, turnover avg for road is 2.2 with penalties @ 8 -66 NOTE:( if you throw in @ home vs Jets game their game avg. gos to 20 pts. for & 20.3 pts. against)

Last 3 home game avg. for Miami is 22 pts. for & 27.1 pts against, turnover avg. for home is 1.0 with penalties @ 5 -41 yds.

At time of writing this Niners Frank Gore is questionable for playing (ankle) as is CB Nate Clements (fractured thumb)

So what does Knobbys muddy tire tales ( KMTT) tell me about this game:

Look for SF Shaun Hill to get 170 to 185 passing yds, 1 td, 1 int. Gore ?, Foster, Robinson will combine for 90 to 110 yds rushing, 1 td. Look also for defense to get a couple of sacks and 2 to 3 turnovers and maybe a defensive TD.

On Miami side look for Chad Pennington to get 195 to 205 passing yds, 1 tds, 2 int. Brown ,Williams, Cobbs will combine for 130 to 140 yds. rushing, 2 tds. Miami defense should come up with also a couple of sacks and maybe 1 turnover.

Don't look for more than a 1/2 pt win...MY PICK - SAN FRANCISCO


Pittsburgh @ Baltimore

WOW! 2 rough & tumble teams here again this year. Pittsburgh can wrap up the AFC North title with a win, while the Ravens with a win would deadlock the teams at 10-4 with 2 games left. So let's get right to KS-IS for the game:

Last 3 road game avg for Pittsburgh is 31.3 pts. for & 8.6 pts. against with turnover avg. for road is 1.0, with penalties @ 7 - 62 yds.

Last 3 home game avg for Baltimore is 29.6 pts for & 9 pts against with turnover avg. for home is 1.5, with penalties @ 7 - 52 yds.

So what does KMTT speak to me about this game?

Turnovers, penalties will decide who gets the last field goal to win.

Look for Big Ben to get 195 to 210 passing yds, 1 td, 2 int., Parker, Moore, Russell to co - share a very stingy 58 to 68 yds rushing, 1 td, 1 turnover.

On Baltimore side, Flacco could get 165 to 175 yds. passing, 1 td, 1int., McClain, Rice, McGahee will probably get 85 to 95 combine yds. rushing, 1 td.

Baltimore defense will probably get more sacks on Ben than Steelers do on Flacco, and both defenses will probably get a couple turnovers...MY PICK - BALTIMORE


SUNDAY NITE GAME:

N. Y. Giants @ Dallas

Up-Dated analysis: 12/12

Jacobs is out and Barber is still questionable... so how much of a impact will that have on game? Jacobs is a workhorse and would have rough & bullied his way through Cowboys O-line, that eases their job and maybe puts more pressure on Manning to try running himself more, not good. Barber was not really a factor last week, what killed it for Dallas was player Brain Farts.

I still see trouble on the field rising from Cowboy camp, and dare I say that some giants could help stir the pot a little, by words or actions???? I stay with my pick as stated below...
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Well,well, well their back again to do battle, who will be the winner this time?

Lets starts with our KS-IS and see from there:

Last 3 road game avg. for NYG is, 32 pts. for & 22.3 pts. against, turnover avg for road is 1.0 with penalty avg. of 6 - 50 yds.

Last 3 home game avg. for Dallas is, 27.3 pts. for & 13.3 pts. against, turnover avg. for home is 1.2 with penalty avg. of 6 - 52 yds.

Dallas needs this win to stay in the mess of the wild-card chances, Giants with a lost could move down a notch from top spot. Cowboys seem to have 'special' problems amongst themselves, that reflect on the field, these 'special' problems especially come to surface when losing late in games. Giants also are having their share of 'special' troubles, but I don't think it's what made them play poorly last week.

My KMTT tells me to look for:

NYG - E. Manning to get 222 to 232 passing yds, 2 tds, 0 int., Ward, Bradshaw, Ware?, Manning to combine for 97 to 105 yds. rushing, 1 td, 1 turnover.

Cowboys - T. Romo to get 247 to 257 passing yds, 2 tds, 2 ints., Barber? Choice, Romo stack up together for 93 to 100 yds. rushing, 1 tds, 1 turnover.

Both defenses to get sacks in (2/3 a piece)...Special teams maybe for a win...MY PICK - N.Y. GIANTS 31 - DALLAS 28


Rest of Games:

Washington
Seattle
NY Jets
COLTS
Kansas City
Arizona
Carolina
New England


Still to come Monday Nite Game..........