Week 14 - Sunday Games - 2008

UP-DATE: ALL MY PICKS ARE SUBJECT TO LATE MINUTE CHANGES. PLEASE CHECK BACK OFTEN SO NOT TO MISS UP-DATED PICK CHOICES. THANK YOU...

Houston @ Green Bay

Whats up with GBs defense? allowing 85 pts in 2 games! Matt Schaub looks to be returning for Houston, but he wasn't all that great when he was playing earlier. If GBs' defense continues their pt giveaway though this week, Mr Schaub should put some numbers up. Texans RB Steve Slaton seems to be a all around football player (running inside, running outside and seems to handle job well as a pass catcher also). Texans have to watch them interceptions.

As for Houstons defense, they need to blitz, last 2 games they haven't had 1 sack. If Rodgers is given to much time he'll burn Houstons secondary. Packers RB Ryan Grant might be able to do some damage if they run him outside.

GB last 3 home games pts. avg. is 34 for & 17.6 allowed. For grass games their pt. avg. is 25.6 for & 21.2 allowed. Turnover avg. is 0.8 and penalty avg. is 9 -76yds

Houston pt. avg.I split here because of maybe Schaub returning. Last 3 road games pts. avg. is 21.3 for & 22.3 allowed. Schaub road game pts. avg. is 18.6 for & 33 allowed. For grass games their pt. avg is 23.4 for & 24.9 allowed. turnover avg. is 2.0 and penalty avg. is 5 -35yds.

SIDE NOTE: you will notice Houstons defense has improved greatly since beginning of season...MY PICK - GREEN BAY


Jacksonville @ Chicago

Well these 2 teams have been very disappointing this year, and I doubt if either one will be in playoffs - so we have to chose which team will fight a little harder just for fights sake?

Jacksonville last 3 road games pts. avg. is 24.6 for & 21.6 allowed. For grass games 17.9 pts for & 23.8 allowed. Turnover avg. is 1.7 and penalty avg. is 7 - 54yds.

Chicago last 3 home games pts. avg. is 29.6 for & 28.3 allowed. For grass games 22.4 for & 27 allowed. Turnover avg. is 2.0 and penalty avg. is 4 -32yds.

Forte (with over 1,000 yards rushing and can put good numbers up on both rushing and receiving out of the backfield) and Hester (must be watched carefully) is the Bears shining stars. Orton has not done crap since coming back from ankle injury, maybe he should sit.

League’s best rushing QB, Jacksonville’s David Garrard is it mostly for Jacksonville, with some flair from time to time from Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor. Pass wise it comes down to WRs Matt Jones and Reggie Williams who can hold their own.

Chicago has to hold Drew & Taylor to 45yds or less apiece and try to keep Garrard from going mobile and getting balls to Jones & Williams . Jacksonville just has to try and contain Forte and Hester, Orton will do his thing so no worry there...MY PICK - CHICAGO

Atlanta @ New Orleans

High stepping Brees and the Saints will be trying to ground Turner and the Falcons. N.O. has to stop Turner from running wild and gaining 95 to 110 yds. They can't do it by jamming the front either because Ryan will then get to WRs Roddy White and Michael Jenkins.

Brees needs no INTs thrown! Saints also need to get away from the do or die passing game head coach Sean Payton seems to plan. Let Bush and Thomas get involved and maybe they can pull a win out.

Atlanta last 3 road game pts avg is 20.0 for & 14.3 allowed. For dome games it's 32.2 for & 21.2 allowed. Turnover avg. is 1.7 and penalty avg. is 5 - 38yds.

New Orleans last 3 home game pts avg is 40.6 for & 21.3 allowed. For dome games it's 31.2 for & 22.2 allowed. Turnover avg. is 1.6 and penalty avg. is 7 -63yds...MY PICK - NEW ORLEANS


Dallas @ Pittsburgh

Game of the Week!!!!
This game IMO will be decided by which team gets the most sacks/int. Dallas has have improved defensively in recent weeks but Pittsburgh has the 2nd highest sack avg. in the NFL.

Dallas last 3 ROMO road games pts avg. is 23.0 for & 12.0 allowed. For grass games it's 20.7 for & 17.7 allowed. Turnover avg. is 2.3 and penalty avg. is 9 - 63yds.

Pittsburgh last 3 home game pts. avg. is 19.3 for & 14.6 allowed. For grass games it's 19.8 for & 15.0 allowed. Turnover avg. is 1.5 and penalty avg. is 6 - 51yds.

MY PICK - PITTSBURGH


OTHER PICKS -

COLTS
MINN.
TENN.
MIAMI
NYG
DENVER
NYJ
N. ENG.
ARIZ.


Washington @ Baltimore - Sunday Nite Game

Type Of Turf: Artificial
Meeting Of The Year: Only
Season Record: Washington 7-5-0 Baltimore 8-4-0
Season Record Vs. Spread: Washington 5-6-1 Baltimore 9-3-0
Home/Road Record: Washington (R) 4-1-0 Baltimore (H) 4-1-0
Home/Road Record Vs. Spread: Washington (R) 3-1-1 Baltimore (H) 4-1-0
Record On Artificial Turf: Washington 3-1-0 Baltimore 5-3-0
Record On Artificial Turf Vs. Spread: Washington 2-1-1 Baltimore 5-3-0


Baltimore Injuries:

12/7/2008
Lamar Divens, DT
Doubtful - Did Not Participate in Practice (shoulder)
12/7/2008
David Hale, G
Doubtful - Did Not Participate in Practice (ankle)
12/7/2008
Jared Gaither, T
questionable - Limited Participation in Practice (shoulder)
12/7/2008
Derrick Mason, WR
questionable - Full Participation in Practice (shoulder)
12/7/2008
Ed Reed, S
questionable - Limited Participation in Practice (thigh)
12/7/2008
Samari Rolle, CB
questionable - Limited Participation in Practice (thigh)
12/7/2008
Nick Greisen, LB
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (back)
12/7/2008
Marcus Maxwell, WR
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (hip)
12/7/2008
Willis McGahee, RB
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (illness)
12/7/2008
Bart Scott, LB
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (shoulder)
12/7/2008
Fabian Washington, CB
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (shoulder)

Washington Injuries:

12/7/2008
Marcus Washington, LB
out - Did Not Participate in Practice (ankle)
12/7/2008
Andre Carter, DE
questionable - Limited Participation in Practice (foot)
12/7/2008
London Fletcher, LB
questionable - Did Not Participate in Practice (foot)
12/7/2008
Kedric Golston, DT
questionable - Did Not Participate in Practice (ankle)
12/7/2008
Cornelius Griffin, DT
questionable - Limited Participation in Practice (shoulder/abdomen)
12/7/2008
Clinton Portis, RB
questionable - Limited Participation in Practice (knee/back)
12/7/2008
Shawn Springs, CB
questionable - Did Not Participate in Practice (calf)
12/7/2008
Alfred Fincher, LB
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (non injury)
12/7/2008
LaRon Landry, S
Probable - Did Not Participate in Practice (calf)
12/7/2008
Pete Kendall, G
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (knee)
12/7/2008
Chris Samuels, T
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (knee)
12/7/2008
Fred Smoot, CB
Probable (not injury related)
12/7/2008
Randy Thomas, G
Probable - Full Participation in Practice (neck)
12/5/2008


Turnovers and penalties might do Baltimore in , but, Washington will have to take advantage of them if & when they happen. I don't see Portis running very well in this game against the Ravens rugged run defense. Baltimore probably will be going to LeRon McClain over former starter Willis McGahee again and look for him to post 55 to 65 yds rushing...MY PICK - BALTIMORE

More games to come.........